
French 30-Year Yield at 14-Year High as Bund Spread Reaches 80 bps
French government bonds came under renewed pressure on Wednesday, pushing the yield on the 30-year OAT up five basis points to 4.45%, the highest level since 2011. The move extends a steady sell-off in French debt that has accelerated this month as investors reassess the country’s fiscal trajectory and political outlook. The risk premium over benchmark German Bunds also widened. The 10-year OAT-Bund spread reached 80 basis points, its widest since April, underscoring a flight to safer German paper and signalling growing concern that France’s budget deficit will remain well above European Union targets. France’s underperformance has compressed the differential with Italy: the gap between French and Italian 10-year yields has narrowed to roughly five basis points, the tightest in years. Market strategists say the shift complicates the European Central Bank’s task of maintaining orderly financing conditions across the euro area. The sell-off in French debt aligns with a broader rise in global long-dated yields. In the United States, the 30-year Treasury yield climbed to 4.955%, its highest level in a month, as traders pared expectations for near-term Federal Reserve rate cuts.
Sources
- Robin Brooks
There's first signs of contagion from France to Italy and flight to safety into Bunds. Italy is the Euro zone Achilles heel. Without it, ECB could let French yields rise, helping France get its budget under control. But that's not possible with Italy always on the brink of crisis https://t.co/MNRUKkH3DZ
- Zoe Schneeweiss
French-German 10-year yield spread climbs to 80 basis points https://t.co/wKji7FBpdf via @highisland @alicegledhill1 https://t.co/t8h5P74wrL
- Frederik Ducrozet
🇫🇷 Le spread français. Never a good sign when you have to update these charts. https://t.co/d1DV7sKVYw
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