European Commission News

FDA Rejects Outlook Therapeutics’ Wet AMD Drug on Efficacy Concerns

5 months ago

ECB Minutes Expose Inflation Rift as Governing Council Holds Rates

Europe

Economics

Business

ECB Minutes Expose Inflation Rift as Governing Council Holds Rates

5 months ago

Europe

Tariffs

Economics

EU Moves to Scrap Tariffs on US Industrial Goods, Aiming to Unlock Lower Auto Duties

5 months ago

Latvia

War

Politics

Von der Leyen Starts Baltic Tour, Calls Putin ‘Predator’ Over Hybrid Threats

5 months ago

Europe

War

Economics

EU Plans New Sanctions on Russia, to Use €200 Billion Frozen Assets and €150 Billion Rearmament Fund; Russia Warns of Countermeasures

5 months ago

France

Law

Energy

France, EU End EDF Dam Dispute With New Authorization Regime

5 months ago

Law

Business

World

Summer Deal Surge Hits $1.1 Trillion as Regulators Tighten Merger Rules

5 months ago

Europe

Automobile

Climate

EU Carmakers Say 2035 Zero-Emission Mandate Unworkable, Urge Policy Reset

5 months ago

Canada submits formal application for EU membership before January 20, 2029

Jan 4, 7:47 PMJan 21, 12:00 AM

6.27%chance

288492

OptionVotes

YES

3871

259

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2028 Person of the Year?

Dec 11, 6:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

155641

OptionProbability

[The presidential Democratic nominee]

Other

[The presidential Republican nominee]

[Indian PM]

Mohammed bin Salman

Elon Musk

Xi Jinping

Vladimir Putin

[Israeli PM]

[The Pope]

[Ukrainian President]

Claudia Sheinbaum

[President of the European Commission]

Taylor Swift

MrBeast (Jimmy Donaldson)

Will the EU impose punitive tariffs on Chinese electric cars before 2030?

Sep 13, 9:37 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

92.84%chance

322779

OptionVotes

YES

2894

680

Will the European Commission publish a new quantum strategy document within the next 60 days?

Jan 26, 8:22 PMMar 27, 8:21 PM

70.56%chance

192177

OptionVotes

YES

1548

646

Will the European Parliament pass a no-confidence vote against the Commission during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

May 19, 3:12 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM

10.19%chance

52021

OptionVotes

YES

2969

337

Accountability: European Commission - Will the EC deliver on these goals and promises?

Jul 19, 1:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

41076

OptionProbability

Propose a 90% emission-reduction target for 2040 in a European Climate Law

Set up a President's Youth Advisory Board with young people from all Member States

Expand the Rule of Law Report to include a Single Market dimension and accession countries

Propose a European AI Research Council (CERN for AI)

Create a pan-European investment platform for affordable and sustainable housing with the European Investment Bank

Propose a new European Biotech Act

By the end of the mandate, energy prices will on average be lower (inflation-adjusted)

More than double Europol's staff over time

The next long-term budget will include a regime of conditionality for the Rule of Law

Triple the number of European Border and Coast Guards to 30,000

Respond to all of Parliament's Article 225 resolutions with legislative proposals

Implement a right to disconnect

Hold European Citizens' Panels every year

100

Next Commission president from Eastern Europe?

May 20, 2:16 AMDec 30, 3:04 AM

28.82%chance

5946

OptionVotes

YES

1572

636

What will happen after President Zelensky signs bill №12414 into law?

Jul 23, 3:49 AMDec 31, 10:33 PM

8277

OptionProbability

An anti-corruption protest with at least 10,000 attendees will take place in a Ukrainian city in July 2025

The law will be repealed or annulled in full by the end of 2025

Ukraine will receive a lower score in the 2026 edition of the Corruption Perceptions Index than in the 2024 edition

The European Commission will issue a formal statement expressing opposition to the law in July 2025

Donald Trump will describe Volodymyr Zelensky as "corrupt" in July 2025

Volodymyr Zelensky's trust rating will fall below 50% in a poll published by KIIS, Rating or Razumkov in 2025

The Ukrainian parliament's trust rating will fall below 10% in a poll published by Razumkov in 2025

The New York Times will publish an editorial criticising Volodymyr Zelensky by the end of August 2025

100

Will European hens be 95% cage-free by 2030?

Sep 29, 12:48 PMJan 1, 12:59 AM

19.83%chance

9194

OptionVotes

YES

585

348

Which musicians/ensembles will be featured in the Grand Theft Auto VI soundtrack at release?

Dec 7, 8:19 AMMay 26, 6:59 AM

8183

OptionProbability

Tom Petty

Denzel Curry

Bad Bunny

Snoop Dogg

Hall & Oates

The Weeknd

Rick Ross

The Pointer Sisters

Michael Jackson

Rihanna

Woody Jackson

Jan Hammer

T-Pain

Eminem

Dr. Dre

Wang Chung

Zenglen

Tammy Wynette

Joan Jett

KNOWER

Steve Miller Band

Will Hungary still be a voting member of the EU European Commission in 2035?

Feb 4, 10:37 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

44%chance

4164

OptionVotes

YES

120

Robinhood fined for OpenAI token sale before 2028?

Jul 3, 9:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.97%chance

459

OptionVotes

YES

108

European Commission News

Top stories

Prediction markets for European Commission

Prediction markets for European Commission

Prediction markets for European Commission

Canada submits formal application for EU membership before January 20, 2029

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2028 Person of the Year?

Will the EU impose punitive tariffs on Chinese electric cars before 2030?

Will the European Commission publish a new quantum strategy document within the next 60 days?

Will the European Parliament pass a no-confidence vote against the Commission during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

Accountability: European Commission - Will the EC deliver on these goals and promises?

Next Commission president from Eastern Europe?

What will happen after President Zelensky signs bill №12414 into law?

Will European hens be 95% cage-free by 2030?

Which musicians/ensembles will be featured in the Grand Theft Auto VI soundtrack at release?

Will Hungary still be a voting member of the EU European Commission in 2035?

Robinhood fined for OpenAI token sale before 2028?

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