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Prediction markets for European Medicines Agency
Which applications of CRISPR technology will achieve regulatory approval for use in humans by 2030?
Mar 8, 9:11 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
16722
OptionProbability
65
53
34
33
Which species will get the first regulator-approved drug with lifespan extension as the indication?
Oct 1, 4:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
6680
OptionProbability
41
25
21
12
Will there be a AI-developed relevant drug in the next 10 years?
Oct 14, 1:47 AMOct 14, 1:45 AM
85.21%chance
7142
OptionVotes
340
142
[Metaculus] Will wild influenza B/Yamagata be declared eradicated before 2030?
Nov 9, 12:20 AMJan 2, 5:00 AM
29.85%chance
8127
OptionVotes
158
112
Will all mRNA type vaccines be abolished and pulled off market before 2040?
Oct 13, 4:43 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM
17.25%chance
110
OptionVotes
110
98