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Prediction markets for European office
Will Marine Le Pen be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election?
May 20, 8:13 AMMar 19, 11:59 PM
91.4%chance
343996
OptionVotes
326
31
Will Trump tariff European countries over Greenland?
Jan 17, 5:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8.64%chance
291835
OptionVotes
325
31
Accountability: European Commission - Will the EC deliver on these goals and promises?
Jul 19, 1:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
41076
OptionProbability
100
100
63
61
61
59
57
54
53
50
45
41
41
OptionVotes
155
65
Will the EU AI Act lead to an enforcement action against a frontier AI lab in 2026?
Mar 16, 9:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
49.18%chance
16366
OptionVotes
102
98
Will Cyprus join the Schengen Area by December 31, 2026?
Apr 28, 6:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
30.01%chance
11289
OptionVotes
153
65
OptionVotes
145
69
OptionProbability
48
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
4
Will Chancellor Merz announce a German defense spending increase to 3.0% of GDP by the end of 2026?
Feb 9, 3:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
31.85%chance
7141
OptionVotes
146
68
Will the EU publish final AI Act Article 73 incident guidance by October 1, 2026?
Aug 2, 10:22 AMOct 1, 11:00 PM
53.58%chance
566
OptionVotes
125
72
OptionVotes
109
92
After the acquisition of Teka group by chinese Midea, will they close the production site of Teka sinks in spain?
Oct 22, 8:33 PMDec 31, 9:26 PM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100


