OptionProbability
Execution date set
Scheduled execution stayed / postponed
Execution date set (post-October 2025)
Executed
Commuted to life / other clemency beyond stay of execution
Executed in 2026
Conviction removed (vacated, pardon, actual innocence, or otherwise)
Released from prison
Executed in 2025
Dies while on death row (not executed)
100
57
50
18
16
8
5
Wes Streeting
Angela Rayner
Shabana Mahmood
Jess Phillips
Ed Milliband
23
12
10
Rawhi Fattouh
Other
Hussein al-Sheikh (currently secretary-general of the Executive Committee)
Mohammad Shtayyeh (current Prime Minister)
Marwan Barghouti (currently in prison)
Mohammed Dahlan (currently in exile in UAE)
Ismail Haniyeh (Current Hamas leader, in exile in Qatar)
46
25
7
6
3
1
Manifold will approve of them in a poll
Member of the Board as of 9 November 2025
Member of the Executive Committee as of 9 November 2025
Cis man
59
45
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