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Prediction markets for Farage
Who will be the next British Prime Minister following a General Election?
Sep 29, 9:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
155165553
OptionProbability
43
22
15
4
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election?
Jan 5, 3:07 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
69%chance
4511851
OptionVotes
1490
542
OptionProbability
23
18
13
7
5
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
Will Nigel Farage become leader of the Conservative Party by 2027?
Oct 27, 2:21 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM
1.62%chance
307635
OptionVotes
6842
711
OptionVotes
1715
583
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK Leader before 1st March 2027?
Sep 4, 8:14 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM
27.39%chance
192154
OptionVotes
1093
962
Will Nigel Farage face a second Clacton byelection in 2026?
Jul 31, 12:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
2.15%chance
281861
OptionVotes
774
26
Who will be the next permanent leader of Reform UK (after Nigel Farage)?
Mar 11, 7:38 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
151650
OptionProbability
27
21
17
7
6
6
5
5
3
2
If Nigel Farage wins the Clacton by-election, will he be recalled anyway?
Jul 7, 2:17 PMJul 7, 2:05 PM
58.62%chance
171587
OptionVotes
1190
840
Will Nigel Farage be alive for the next UK general election?
Jun 1, 2:17 AMAug 16, 2:10 AM
93.54%chance
19719
OptionVotes
381
26
Will a party Nigel Farage is a member of win the next UK General Election?
Feb 9, 3:25 AMAug 15, 10:59 PM
30.07%chance
21659
OptionVotes
152
66
Will Nigel Farage and Rupert Lowe manage to pull off a 'Unite the Right'?
Aug 26, 1:56 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
73.83%chance
5347
OptionVotes
168
60


