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Prediction markets for Fav
Will Donald Trump have a positive net favorability rate on December 20, 2025, according to 538?
Jan 22, 4:03 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
3.64%chance
51177540
OptionVotes
32880
8323
Will the New York Times (NYT) achieve a favorable outcome in its copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?
Dec 27, 9:24 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
77.94%chance
769112
OptionVotes
1332
984
Will the Democrats be favored to win the 2028 US presidential election in the last week of 2025, according to Kalshi?
Jan 22, 8:06 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
60.55%chance
223853
OptionVotes
12830
7603
Will Keir Starmer's net favourability rating be higher at the end of 2025 than it was at the end of 2024?
Jan 29, 11:09 AMFeb 1, 11:59 PM
35%chance
163778
OptionVotes
1363
734
Will the legality of AI training on copyrighted works be settled by, and in favor of, the American Copyright Lobby, before 2026?
Dec 24, 4:23 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
25%chance
21843
OptionVotes
1226
893
Will I have a generally favorable opinion of Elon Musk on June 1, 2026?
Jun 6, 11:39 PMJun 2, 6:59 AM
34.85%chance
8613
OptionVotes
1367
731
Will an album using synthetic audio be my favorite album of 2025?
Dec 19, 5:56 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
32.49%chance
5579
OptionVotes
1441
694
Will Donald Trump's favorability among Republicans go below 50% before his death?
Feb 7, 1:36 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
23.77%chance
9378
OptionVotes
1235
908
What will be Donald Trump's favorability among Republicans at the time of his death? [resolves to percentage]
Feb 8, 7:46 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
66.36%chance
12174
OptionVotes
1026
982
Will TWA 800 crash lawsuit Krick v. Raytheon (Case 1:22-cv-11032-AK) be ruled in favor of the plaintiffs?
Jun 1, 8:09 PMJun 2, 5:59 AM
47.04%chance
4170
OptionVotes
1061
942
Will Donald Trump's favorability among Republicans go below 60% before his death?
Feb 7, 1:35 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
35.54%chance
685
OptionVotes
1004
994
OptionProbability
25
25
25
25
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