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Top stories

Fed’s Waller Backs September 25-Point Cut, Signals More Easing Ahead

Fed’s Waller Backs September 25-Point Cut, Signals More Easing Ahead

Authors

36

3 months ago

Markets Put 87% Odds on Fed September Rate Cut

Markets Put 87% Odds on Fed September Rate Cut

Authors

6

3 months ago

Fed’s Lisa Cook Sues Trump, Challenging Attempted Firing and Fed Independence

US Gov Appointments

Fed’s Lisa Cook Sues Trump, Challenging Attempted Firing and Fed Independence

Authors

115

3 months ago

FHFA’s Pulte Files Second Criminal Referral Alleging Mortgage Fraud by Fed’s Lisa Cook

Authors

15

3 months ago

US Economy Expands 3.3% in Second Quarter on Trade, Investment

Authors

30

3 months ago

Global Markets Steady as Investors Wait for Key US PCE Inflation

Authors

19

3 months ago

US Domestic Policy

White House Vows to Keep Up Fight With Fed Governor Lisa Cook

Authors

5

3 months ago

US Gov Appointments

Senate Republicans Fast-Track Miran for Fed Board Before September Meeting

Authors

6

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Fed

Fed performs emergency rate cut in 2025?

Apr 7, 12:19 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

1.36%chance

48132685

OptionVotes

YES

NO

85011

1176

Federal Reserve (Fed) Interest Rate Decision in December

Sep 3, 9:51 PMDec 10, 7:00 PM

158103778

OptionProbability

25 bps decrease

No change

Increase

50+ bps decrease

93

6

0

0

Will the fed funds rate be below 4% at anytime by the end of 2026?

Oct 17, 11:18 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

97.1%chance

2856155

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6200

490

Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair?

Jul 4, 3:31 PMMay 1, 3:28 PM

3510690

OptionProbability

Kevin Hassett

Kevin Warsh

Christopher Waller

Rick Rieder

Scott Bessent

Michelle Bowman

Other

Stephen Miran

Janet Yellen

James Bullard

76

6

6

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

Will the Fed be abolished during Trump's term?

Nov 14, 9:57 PMJan 21, 2:59 AM

3.91%chance

259052

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4956

202

Fed makes 3rd interest rate adjustment before EoY 2025?

Oct 30, 12:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

94.82%chance

185448

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4279

234

Next Fed chair to have a degree in economics?

Apr 18, 12:20 AMApr 1, 10:59 PM

79.79%chance

152831

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1987

503

Will Nick Fuentes be revealed to be a Fed before 2040?

Feb 19, 4:04 AMJan 16, 6:59 AM

18%chance

192676

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1626

793

If no lowering of interest rates in Dec. → Will Trump increasingly pressure Fed autonomy?

Nov 22, 4:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.09%chance

6740

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1390

719

Are the “Patriot Front” marchers >20% feds?

May 16, 9:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.74%chance

13436

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1038

977

Double digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?

Apr 21, 12:20 AMDec 31, 1:18 AM

9.97%chance

10312

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1201

933

Trump creates and appoints a shadow Fed chair?

Apr 22, 11:07 AMMay 30, 10:59 PM

22.08%chance

8224

OptionVotes

NO

YES

602

444

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