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Top stories

Fed’s Waller Backs September 25-Point Cut, Signals More Easing Ahead

Fed’s Waller Backs September 25-Point Cut, Signals More Easing Ahead

Authors

36

10 months ago

Markets Put 87% Odds on Fed September Rate Cut

Markets Put 87% Odds on Fed September Rate Cut

Authors

6

10 months ago

Fed’s Lisa Cook Sues Trump, Challenging Attempted Firing and Fed Independence

US Gov Appointments

Fed’s Lisa Cook Sues Trump, Challenging Attempted Firing and Fed Independence

Authors

115

10 months ago

FHFA’s Pulte Files Second Criminal Referral Alleging Mortgage Fraud by Fed’s Lisa Cook

Authors

15

10 months ago

US Economy Expands 3.3% in Second Quarter on Trade, Investment

Authors

30

10 months ago

Global Markets Steady as Investors Wait for Key US PCE Inflation

Authors

19

10 months ago

US Domestic Policy

White House Vows to Keep Up Fight With Fed Governor Lisa Cook

Authors

5

10 months ago

US Gov Appointments

Senate Republicans Fast-Track Miran for Fed Board Before September Meeting

Authors

6

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Fed

Will the Fed change its 2% inflation target before the end of Trump’s term?

Dec 14, 1:34 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM

15.84%chance

5010342

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1779

781

Will Fed (Kevin Warsh) cut interest rates by July 2026?

Jun 9, 9:55 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

1.54%chance

259791

OptionVotes

YES

NO

800

13

Will the Fed be abolished during Trump's term?

Nov 14, 9:57 PMJan 21, 2:59 AM

3.84%chance

269102

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5006

200

Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026?

Jan 7, 4:06 PMDec 10, 7:00 PM

86.06%chance

264294

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1415

917

Will Nick Fuentes be revealed to be a Fed before 2040?

Feb 19, 4:04 AMJan 16, 6:59 AM

47.65%chance

233976

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1234

610

Double digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?

Apr 21, 12:20 AMNov 23, 1:18 AM

5.98%chance

111062

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1951

871

2026 rate hike parlay (Fed + ECB + BOJ + BOE + PBC)

May 25, 10:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.71%chance

111052

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1794

558

Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the July 29, 2026 FOMC meeting?

Jun 18, 12:02 AMJul 29, 6:25 PM

1.92%chance

7679

OptionVotes

YES

NO

779

19

Are the “Patriot Front” marchers >20% feds?

May 16, 9:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

22.79%chance

13449

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1080

964

Will "In The End, Gold Destroy The Fed" after "We Are Going To Experience Two Resets"?

Aug 8, 6:52 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

10%chance

6243

OptionVotes

YES

NO

382

116

How many times will the Fed raise rates during Trump's second term?

Nov 18, 8:09 PMJan 24, 7:59 AM

11237

OptionProbability

Other

Zero

Twice

Once

67

21

7

5

Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Oct. 28, 2026 FOMC meeting?

Jun 18, 12:01 PMOct 28, 6:25 PM

22.13%chance

479

OptionVotes

YES

NO

179

62

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