Federal Parliament News

Dr. Aadan Cabdullahi Aw-Xasan Elected Speaker of North Eastern State Parliament in Somalia With 53 Votes; Al-Shabaab Militants Executed

5 months ago

Will Somebody Try to Ban the AfD before 2027?

Jan 20, 9:57 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

8%chance

4016790

OptionVotes

YES

2859

649

Will Alberta leave Canada?

Dec 24, 1:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

94876

OptionProbability

Won’t leave before 2030

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

Division of FSB (or whole FSB, or Russia) recognized as terrorist organization by Russia or US or UK or EU or UN by 2030

Jul 13, 9:23 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

25.05%chance

52982

OptionVotes

YES

3409

1209

German Bundestag dissolved by end of 2026?

Oct 22, 9:09 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

9.52%chance

7927

OptionVotes

YES

308

Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?

Jul 22, 11:40 AMSep 25, 11:37 AM

68.46%chance

7760

OptionVotes

YES

1475

680

Next Canadian federal election by April 30th, 2027?

Apr 30, 5:32 PMApr 30, 11:59 PM

28.84%chance

5705

OptionVotes

YES

1571

637

Will the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?

Oct 27, 10:32 PMDec 8, 11:59 PM

38.39%chance

9694

OptionVotes

YES

1267

789

Will another country pass an age restriction on social media by the end of 2026?

Jan 14, 4:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

91.21%chance

14457

OptionVotes

YES

322

Will the German Constitutional Court restrict Björn Höcke's basic rights?

Feb 3, 11:22 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

8342

OptionProbability

The Federal Constitutional Court is not asked to decide.

The Federal Constituional Court is asked but decides that Höcke does not forfeit any basic rights.

The Federal Constitutional Court declares that any of Höcke's basic rights are forfeit.

Prediction markets legalized in India by 2035?

Dec 22, 7:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.19%chance

599

OptionVotes

YES

104

Will One Nation win more seats than the Liberals+Nationals+QLNP+CLP combined at the next Australian federal election?

Feb 2, 12:06 PMMay 19, 1:59 PM

32%chance

597

OptionVotes

YES

146

Which of Trudeau's policies will be reversed?

Feb 4, 6:13 AMSep 20, 10:59 PM

558

OptionProbability

Mass immigration

Drug decriminalization

Gun ban

Marijuana legalization

Federal Parliament News

Top stories

Prediction markets for Federal Parliament

Prediction markets for Federal Parliament

Prediction markets for Federal Parliament

Will Somebody Try to Ban the AfD before 2027?

Will Alberta leave Canada?

Division of FSB (or whole FSB, or Russia) recognized as terrorist organization by Russia or US or UK or EU or UN by 2030

German Bundestag dissolved by end of 2026?

Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?

Next Canadian federal election by April 30th, 2027?

Will the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?

Will another country pass an age restriction on social media by the end of 2026?

Will the German Constitutional Court restrict Björn Höcke's basic rights?

Prediction markets legalized in India by 2035?

Will One Nation win more seats than the Liberals+Nationals+QLNP+CLP combined at the next Australian federal election?

Which of Trudeau's policies will be reversed?

Latest stories