Federal Parliament News

Dr. Aadan Cabdullahi Aw-Xasan Elected Speaker of North Eastern State Parliament in Somalia With 53 Votes; Al-Shabaab Militants Executed

1 year ago

Will Somebody Try to Ban the AfD before 2027?

Jan 20, 9:57 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

6.36%chance

4218685

OptionVotes

YES

3420

606

Will the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?

Oct 27, 10:32 PMDec 8, 11:59 PM

49%chance

234498

OptionVotes

YES

1020

980

Division of FSB (or whole FSB, or Russia) recognized as terrorist organization by Russia or US or UK or EU or UN by 2030

Jul 13, 9:23 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

25.05%chance

52982

OptionVotes

YES

3409

1209

Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?

Jul 22, 11:40 AMSep 25, 11:37 AM

57.11%chance

122456

OptionVotes

YES

1155

868

Next Canadian federal election by April 30th, 2027?

Apr 30, 5:32 PMApr 30, 11:59 PM

11.47%chance

91913

OptionVotes

YES

2779

360

Will One Nation win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election in Australia?

Jun 23, 4:16 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

23.81%chance

171529

OptionVotes

YES

1789

559

Which parties will become part of the Russian Parliament (State Duma) after the 2026 elections?

Jul 28, 6:46 AMSep 29, 11:59 PM

111294

OptionProbability

United Russia

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia

Communist Party of the Russian Federation

New People

A Just Russia

Yabloko

Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice

Party of Direct Democracy

Rodina

Communists of Russia

Russian Ecological Party "The Greens"

The next new party to enter the German federal parliament (the Bundestag) will be an Islamic party. 🇩🇪🏛️☪️

Apr 23, 4:55 PMApr 20, 4:51 PM

28.46%chance

7637

OptionVotes

YES

159

How many seats will PHON win in the next federal election?

May 13, 10:41 AMJun 13, 10:41 AM

2456

OptionProbability

Above 0

Above 2

Above 4

Above 6

Above 8

Above 10

Above 20

Will the German Constitutional Court restrict Björn Höcke's basic rights?

Feb 3, 11:22 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

8342

OptionProbability

The Federal Constitutional Court is not asked to decide.

The Federal Constituional Court is asked but decides that Höcke does not forfeit any basic rights.

The Federal Constitutional Court declares that any of Höcke's basic rights are forfeit.

When will the first One Nation defection or departure in South Australian parliament occur?

Mar 25, 3:17 AMDec 31, 3:15 AM

3175

OptionProbability

No members leave or defect before parliament dissolves

Before 1 July 2026

July to December 2026

During 2027

2028 or later

Which of Trudeau's policies will be reversed?

Feb 4, 6:13 AMSep 20, 10:59 PM

558

OptionProbability

Mass immigration

Drug decriminalization

Gun ban

Marijuana legalization

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Prediction markets for Federal Parliament

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Will Somebody Try to Ban the AfD before 2027?

Will the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?

Division of FSB (or whole FSB, or Russia) recognized as terrorist organization by Russia or US or UK or EU or UN by 2030

Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?

Next Canadian federal election by April 30th, 2027?

Will One Nation win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election in Australia?

Which parties will become part of the Russian Parliament (State Duma) after the 2026 elections?

The next new party to enter the German federal parliament (the Bundestag) will be an Islamic party. 🇩🇪🏛️☪️

How many seats will PHON win in the next federal election?

Will the German Constitutional Court restrict Björn Höcke's basic rights?

When will the first One Nation defection or departure in South Australian parliament occur?

Which of Trudeau's policies will be reversed?

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