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Top stories

Brazil Police Trace R$30.6 Million to Bolsonaro, Suspect Laundering

Brazil Police Trace R$30.6 Million to Bolsonaro, Suspect Laundering

Authors

10

1 year ago

Opposition Gains INSS Inquiry Control Amid Bolsonaro Family Probed Over Judiciary Coercion and US Tariff Dispute

Opposition Gains INSS Inquiry Control Amid Bolsonaro Family Probed Over Judiciary Coercion and US Tariff Dispute

Authors

6

1 year ago

Luis Cárdenas Palomino Sentenced to Five Years and Three Months for Torture of "Los Zodiaco" Gang Members, Barred from Public Office

Luis Cárdenas Palomino Sentenced to Five Years and Three Months for Torture of "Los Zodiaco" Gang Members, Barred from Public Office

Authors

5

11 months ago

Banco do Brasil Accuses Eduardo Bolsonaro Allies of False Financial Claims; AGU Seeks Federal Police Probe Amid Customer Withdrawal Urges

Authors

7

1 year ago

Bolsonaro’s Defense to Supreme Federal Court Denies Flight Risk, Cites Draft Asylum Amid Argentina Bribery Probe Involving Milei’s Sister

Authors

8

1 year ago

Lula Leads 2026 Race with 34%; Bolsonaro Faces STF Review, House Arrest, and Divided Public Opinion

Authors

5

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Federal Police

Will the Trump administration militarize Chicago before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 3, 7:22 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

9.12%chance

297609

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3158

317

Will the Trump administration militarize New York City before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 3, 7:20 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

7.54%chance

216710

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3504

286

Will PA Governor Josh Shapiro be arrested in connection with the Butler PA attempt to assassinate Trump?

Feb 10, 3:05 PMFeb 18, 4:59 AM

234504

OptionProbability

Shapiro is subpoenaed to testify before Congress, the FBI, or another agency of the Federal government

Shapiro is indicted by a grand jury

Shapiro is arrested

Shapiro is brought to trial

Shapiro is found guilty of involvement with the plot

20

6

5

5

3

How much time will Jair Bolsonaro spend in jail (not house arrest) by Dec 31, 2031?

Sep 12, 1:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

113876

OptionProbability

1+ days

30+ days

365+ days

180+ days

730+ days

1825+ days

0 days

100

100

62

46

46

22

0

Will the Trump administration militarize Baltimore before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 4, 12:27 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

11.1%chance

293650

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2832

354

Will the United States be in charge of at least part of Greenland by January 20, 2029?

Jan 25, 4:01 PMJan 20, 5:00 PM

10.86%chance

253552

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2864

349

Will the Trump administration militarize Los Angeles again before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 3, 7:19 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

16.63%chance

92221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2239

447

Former Antioch, CA police officer Devon Wenger receives a federal pardon on or before January 20, 2029

Dec 2, 3:25 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

63.53%chance

61274

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1320

758

Sig Sauer bankrupt by EOY 2035?

Oct 16, 8:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.82%chance

6945

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1253

111

Will the President have federal police presence at polling places during the midterms?

Jul 7, 6:13 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

55.7%chance

11546

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1121

892

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