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Top stories

Brazil Police Trace R$30.6 Million to Bolsonaro, Suspect Laundering

Brazil Police Trace R$30.6 Million to Bolsonaro, Suspect Laundering

Authors

10

6 months ago

Opposition Gains INSS Inquiry Control Amid Bolsonaro Family Probed Over Judiciary Coercion and US Tariff Dispute

Opposition Gains INSS Inquiry Control Amid Bolsonaro Family Probed Over Judiciary Coercion and US Tariff Dispute

Authors

6

6 months ago

Luis Cárdenas Palomino Sentenced to Five Years and Three Months for Torture of "Los Zodiaco" Gang Members, Barred from Public Office

Luis Cárdenas Palomino Sentenced to Five Years and Three Months for Torture of "Los Zodiaco" Gang Members, Barred from Public Office

Authors

5

5 months ago

Banco do Brasil Accuses Eduardo Bolsonaro Allies of False Financial Claims; AGU Seeks Federal Police Probe Amid Customer Withdrawal Urges

Authors

7

5 months ago

Bolsonaro’s Defense to Supreme Federal Court Denies Flight Risk, Cites Draft Asylum Amid Argentina Bribery Probe Involving Milei’s Sister

Authors

8

6 months ago

Lula Leads 2026 Race with 34%; Bolsonaro Faces STF Review, House Arrest, and Divided Public Opinion

Authors

5

6 months ago

Prediction markets for Federal Police

Will the Trump administration militarize Chicago before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 3, 7:22 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

21.63%chance

286101

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1905

526

Will the Trump administration militarize New York City before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 3, 7:20 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

14.6%chance

215293

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2420

414

How much time will Jair Bolsonaro spend in jail (not house arrest) by Dec 31, 2031?

Sep 12, 1:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

113329

OptionProbability

1+ days

30+ days

180+ days

365+ days

730+ days

1825+ days

0 days

100

100

80

76

53

41

0

Will the Trump administration militarize Baltimore before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 4, 12:27 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

14.48%chance

293250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2432

412

Will a government agent kill another American citizen before February 28, 2026?

Jan 25, 12:45 AMFeb 27, 11:59 PM

50%chance

362518

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Confrontation between ICE and Minnesota police

Jan 25, 2:23 AMApr 1, 1:16 AM

25.97%chance

142054

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1013

963

Will the United States be in charge of at least part of Greenland by January 20, 2029?

Jan 25, 4:01 PMJan 20, 5:00 PM

25.49%chance

192020

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1710

585

Will fatal ICE shooting in the US occur again before March 2026?

Jan 26, 2:31 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

61.27%chance

311396

OptionVotes

YES

NO

627

535

Will the Trump administration militarize Los Angeles again before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 3, 7:19 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

23.92%chance

71341

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1783

561

Former Antioch, CA police officer Devon Wenger receives a federal pardon on or before January 20, 2029

Dec 2, 3:25 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

66.63%chance

51224

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1413

708

Sig Sauer bankrupt by EOY 2035?

Oct 16, 8:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.82%chance

6945

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1253

111

Clavicular charged in 2026?

Dec 25, 11:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.18%chance

5257

OptionVotes

YES

NO

346

141

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