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Top stories

US Military Aircraft Linked to CIA From 150th Special Operations Squadron Lands in Porto Alegre and Guarulhos, Inspected by Brazilian Authorities

US Foreign Policy

US Military Aircraft Linked to CIA From 150th Special Operations Squadron Lands in Porto Alegre and Guarulhos, Inspected by Brazilian Authorities

Authors

3

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Federal Revenue

Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040?

Oct 17, 10:23 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

113151

OptionProbability

Ingria

Chechnya (Ichkeria)

Zaporozhye (Zaporizhzhia) Oblast

Kaliningrad (Königsberg)

Bashkortostan

Tatarstan

Udmurtia

Chuvashia

Sakha (Yakutia)

Karelia

Dagestan

Buryatia

34

16

15

10

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

Will we learn that Anthropic lied to investors about operating profitable in Q2 2026 before 2028?

May 25, 8:51 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

10.4%chance

131612

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1799

141

What will the federal budget deficit be at the end of the Trump administration?

Mar 5, 9:30 PMNov 1, 6:59 AM

101027

OptionProbability

$1000bn - $1999bn

$2000bn - $2999bn

$3000bn+

$0 - $999bn

Below $0

31

30

30

7

1

Will annual U.S. debt interest payments exceed 20% of federal budget revenue by 2028?

May 29, 1:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.99%chance

12961

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1128

887

Will Trump abolish income tax and replace it with revenue from tariffs?

Nov 3, 3:47 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

2.13%chance

15871

OptionVotes

YES

NO

677

15

Scientology loses IRS Tax-exempt status

Feb 18, 7:31 PMMay 9, 6:59 AM

20.81%chance

16824

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1550

793

Will Bernie's 50% AI tax pass?

Jun 3, 5:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.7%chance

4426

OptionVotes

YES

NO

510

20

Will the Nicholas Funk vs PSA RICO lawsuit get dismissed?

Aug 5, 6:26 AMDec 31, 6:30 AM

78.41%chance

2410

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1363

876

Wealth taxes on HNWIs to be implemented in the United States of America by 1st January 2029?

Aug 25, 8:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 PM

17.42%chance

12366

OptionVotes

YES

NO

310

172

Will there be a company larger than the US Government by 2040?

Jan 17, 2:41 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

19.91%chance

16297

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1233

918

Disbursements from Trump Anti-Weaponization Fund exceed 1 billion dollars before dissolution?

May 24, 5:57 AMDec 31, 5:00 AM

20.05%chance

9133

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

50

Will Jose Luis Ricon be part of a 501(c)(3) organization by EOY2035?

Apr 29, 2:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55%chance

213

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

90

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