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Top stories

Mexico Captures ‘El Vampiro’, Alleged La Barredora Lieutenant in Tabasco

Authors

4

6 days ago

Prediction markets for federal Security

Will all 500 billion dollars from Project Stargate actually get invested within four years?

Jan 22, 3:37 AMJan 29, 4:59 AM

22.28%chance

569159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7326

4245

Will Donald Trump's face appear on US currency before December 2028?

Feb 11, 6:35 PMDec 2, 4:59 AM

11.77%chance

194414

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2738

365

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026

Jul 9, 9:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.36%chance

152671

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2663

375

EU ends unanimous decision-making by EOY 2035?

Jul 14, 12:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.17%chance

101697

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2277

439

If nominated, which Democratic candidate will win the 2028 U.S. presidential election?

Mar 17, 1:16 AMDec 31, 5:59 AM

241445

OptionProbability

Josh Shapiro

Gretchen Whitmer

Gavin Newsom

Wes Moore

J.B. Pritzker

Pete Buttigieg

Mark Cuban

Tim Walz

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Andy Beshear

Cory Booker

Jon Ossoff

Kamala Harris

63

62

59

59

59

58

58

57

55

50

50

50

40

Will the US government undergo significant, large scale decline by 2050?

Jun 24, 8:44 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

84.51%chance

15836

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1123

942

Will the deadline for deferring capital gains using qualified opportunity zone funds be extended?

Aug 23, 12:31 AMSep 23, 3:59 AM

20.75%chance

1825

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1925

754

Will Kilmar Abrego Garcia be deported to El Salvador before 2029?

Jun 7, 3:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.12%chance

7640

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1421

704

How long will the Mark Carney liberal government last?

May 2, 1:42 PMMay 2, 1:42 PM

18516

OptionProbability

2 to 3 years

1 to 2 years

3 to 4 years

Full 4-year term or more

6 to 12 months

Less than 6 months

37

27

21

12

2

1

Will the Brazilian Federal Government have a majority stake in Companhia Energética de Minas Gerais (CEMIG) before 2027?

Feb 6, 2:17 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

40.8%chance

6450

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1205

830

Will the Federal Reserve end quantitative tightening in 2025?

May 22, 4:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.61%chance

5415

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1384

727

Division of FSB (or whole FSB, or Russia) recognized as terrorist organization by Russia or US or UK or EU or UN by 2030

Jul 13, 9:23 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

46.34%chance

4200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2091

1916

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 6, 2025
Aug 6, 2025
Mexico
Crime
Culture
Mexico Captures ‘El Vampiro’, Alleged La Barredora Lieutenant in Tabasco
Authors
4
6 days ago

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