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Federal Security Council News

    Prediction markets for Federal Security Council

    EU ends unanimous decision-making by EOY 2035?

    Jul 14, 12:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    16.17%chance
    101697

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    2277

    439

    OptionProbability

    Have been born after the first plane was hijacked on 9/11

    Be a President or other kind of non-royal, non-coup Head of State

    Be a man (cis or trans)

    Take office on or before 2034-03-29 (ten years from market creation)

    Be a Prime Minister, meaning a head of government, not head of state, most often elected by the legislature

    Be considered broadly left-wing in their country

    Be a monarch or a monarch's representative/regent

    Have been married

    Have been in custody

    Rule a country that's in the bottom 10% by area

    Rule an African country

    Rule a country with same-sex marriage

    Rule a country that's not a UN member as of market creation

    Not rule by heredity, and be related to someone who is or was also a state leader during their lifetime

    Come to power as the result of a coup

    Be out as LGBTQIA+

    Have used a prediction market

    84

    71

    67

    57

    54

    54

    52

    50

    47

    46

    43

    38

    29

    25

    24

    21

    9

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