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Federal Trade Commission News

    Prediction markets for Federal Trade Commission

    US import restrictions on Russian Palladium by January 1, 2026?

    Nov 24, 8:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    65.26%chance
    115341

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    13705

    7296

    OptionProbability

    KalshiEX LLC v. CFTC (ban on prediction markets for elections)

    Clarke v. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (PredictIt Case)

    Ryan v. FTC (Non-compete ban case)

    United States v. Sam Bankman-Fried

    U.S. and Plaintiff States v. Google LLC (Google antitrust case)

    Federal Trade Commission, et al. v. Amazon.com, Inc. (Amazon antitrust case)

    U.S and Plaintiff States v. Apple Inc. (Apple antitrust case)

    United States v. Binance Holdings (charges against Binance for iolating several laws, including the Bank Secrecy Act, the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, and the Commodity Exchange Act)

    Federal Trade Commission v. Microsoft Corp. and Activision Blizzard, Inc (Attempt to block Microsoft's merger/acquisition of Activision Blizzard)

    United States v. Meta Platforms, Inc. (Meta antitrust case)

    Food and Drug Administration v. Wages and White Lion Investments, LLC (E-cigarette supreme court case)

    TikTok Inc. v. Merrick Garland (TikTok Ban)

    United States v. Skrmetti (ban on transgender health care for minors)

    100

    50

    50

    32

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    3

    0

    0

    OptionProbability

    Nothing horrible happens

    Internal fraud/embezzlement

    Bank or financial partner failure

    Cybersecurity breach/hack

    Regulatory crackdown with asset seizure

    Other

    84

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    Will Meta sell/divest from Instagram before 2028?

    Jan 13, 3:42 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
    20.14%chance
    5201

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    199

    50

    Will you use Truth Predict when it goes online?

    Nov 3, 2:27 PMDec 31, 2:26 PM
    20%chance
    4144

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    200

    50

    Will Meta sell/divest from WhatsApp before 2028?

    Jan 28, 5:43 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
    16%chance
    6140

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    229

    44

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