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Prediction markets for Federal
Will Jerome Powell cease to hold the office of Chair of the Federal Reserve before 2026?
Jan 22, 11:16 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
1.15%chance
316855132
OptionVotes
119785
2471
Balance of Power: Who will control the government after the 2026 US federal elections?
Sep 19, 12:51 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
239344718
OptionProbability
55
28
16
1
0
0
0
0
Will US federal interest rates at the end of 2025 be lower than at the end of 2024?
Jan 22, 3:39 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
99.01%chance
38131073
OptionVotes
129586
2189
Elon Musk charged with a federal crime before the end of day on December 31, 2025
Feb 3, 12:35 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
2.99%chance
5766235
OptionVotes
58958
5398
If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?
Mar 10, 5:12 AMNov 3, 7:59 AM
21.55%chance
11749082
OptionVotes
9837
5474
Alcatraz holds ten federal inmates for one week before January 20, 2029?
May 4, 11:58 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM
10.14%chance
11337948
OptionVotes
29769
3359
One of Elon Musk’s college aged henchmen charged with a federal crime before the end of day on December 31, 2025
Feb 3, 5:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
6.25%chance
4033292
OptionVotes
39230
3870
Salary withheld for 5000 full time US federal government employees on or before December 31, 2025
Feb 2, 8:57 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
13.08%chance
1817139
OptionVotes
24776
2392
Will Trump tout (positively promote) the possibility of default on US federal debt at any time during his second term?
Feb 2, 9:27 AMFeb 1, 1:59 PM
53.7%chance
429653
OptionVotes
11488
8479
Will a member of Congress or a federal judge be arrested and held without bail?
Apr 28, 7:29 PMApr 29, 7:28 PM
39.19%chance
207525
OptionVotes
12457
8028
Will there be any significant legislation or executive orders cancelling vote-by-mail in the 2026 federal elections?
Feb 21, 2:05 AMJan 4, 7:59 AM
45.27%chance
171797
OptionVotes
10257
9774
Federal government fellowship approximating discontinued PMF program opens applications by EOY2030?
Apr 20, 6:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
52.62%chance
9702
OptionVotes
10538
9489
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