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11 days ago

Sequans Raises $384M, K Wave Media $1B, Volcon Buys 3,183 Bitcoin in Growing Corporate Adoption

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Sequans Raises $384M, K Wave Media $1B, Volcon Buys 3,183 Bitcoin in Growing Corporate Adoption

23 days ago

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Gupshup Raises $60 Million, Weighs India Shift for IPO

10 days ago

Will definitive evidence emerge that Justin Trudeau is actually Fidel Castro’s biological son?

Feb 11, 4:00 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

5.44%chance

7412353

OptionVotes

YES

1975

1087

Full digitization (not necessarily emulation) of a human brain by 2035

Feb 14, 11:27 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.05%chance

8111213

OptionVotes

YES

1351

1329

Will any notable scientist or public intellectual posthumously publish as an AI simulacrum before EoY 2027?

Jun 12, 3:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.29%chance

216832

OptionVotes

YES

3327

301

Which of these potentially world-changing discoveries will happen first?

Apr 1, 10:41 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM

743702

OptionProbability

Nanotechnology

Good vegan cheese

AGI

High-fidelity brain-computer interface

Fusion energy

Extraterrestrial life

Cure for cancer

Full-brain emulation

Room-temperature ambient-pressure superconductor

FTL travel

Universal virus vaccine

Will definitive evidence emerge that Justin Trudeau is actually Fidel Castro’s biological son any time through 2026?

Sep 28, 5:38 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

3.87%chance

181442

OptionVotes

YES

1031

959

Which is the earliest year we'll have a non-biological 3D printer that can reproduce itself without loss of fidelity?

Jul 30, 6:54 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

201214

OptionProbability

2030

2050

2035

we will not produce such a thing by 2150 (doesn't matter the reason why)

2150

2027

Relativity Space Fails by December 31, 2025

Nov 25, 1:32 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

19.83%chance

41110

OptionVotes

YES

2015

500

Will Communism fall from power in Cuba by January 1, 2035?

Dec 5, 2:26 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM

39.69%chance

14989

OptionVotes

YES

1233

811

Will there be easy auto-translation of the entire Chinese Internet into English by 2027? (such that people in America can easily and regularly hold conversations with people in China - with minimal loss of interpretation)?

Oct 4, 12:39 AMOct 11, 3:59 AM

74.79%chance

26735

OptionVotes

YES

998

935

Will AI pass the Rube Goldberg Turing test by the end of 2028?

Jul 18, 7:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.62%chance

12670

OptionVotes

YES

1288

777

Will OpenAI's next major LLM (after GPT-4) feature natural and convenient speech-to-speech capabilities?

Apr 25, 11:28 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

80.6%chance

10467

OptionVotes

YES

454

Will there be a high fidelity copy, clone, or emulation of any famous person by 2050?

May 6, 1:15 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

25.01%chance

275

OptionVotes

YES

173

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Will definitive evidence emerge that Justin Trudeau is actually Fidel Castro’s biological son?

Full digitization (not necessarily emulation) of a human brain by 2035

Will any notable scientist or public intellectual posthumously publish as an AI simulacrum before EoY 2027?

Which of these potentially world-changing discoveries will happen first?

Will definitive evidence emerge that Justin Trudeau is actually Fidel Castro’s biological son any time through 2026?

Which is the earliest year we'll have a non-biological 3D printer that can reproduce itself without loss of fidelity?

Relativity Space Fails by December 31, 2025

Will Communism fall from power in Cuba by January 1, 2035?

Will there be easy auto-translation of the entire Chinese Internet into English by 2027? (such that people in America can easily and regularly hold conversations with people in China - with minimal loss of interpretation)?

Will AI pass the Rube Goldberg Turing test by the end of 2028?

Will OpenAI's next major LLM (after GPT-4) feature natural and convenient speech-to-speech capabilities?

Will there be a high fidelity copy, clone, or emulation of any famous person by 2050?

Latest stories

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