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Prediction markets for Figure Technology
Instant deepfakes of anyone (doing anything) by the end of 2027?
Dec 7, 10:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
81.3%chance
500718759
OptionVotes
16246
14400
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on the cover of any of these magazines before 2028?
Jul 13, 11:37 AMJan 2, 12:30 PM
20.69%chance
9718155
OptionVotes
1838
604
Will an AI play a pivotal role in solving an important political issue by 2033?
Mar 14, 11:02 PMMar 14, 11:59 PM
68.29%chance
732820
OptionVotes
1647
1011
2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.
Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
79.08%chance
382747
OptionVotes
1720
680
8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job oss [See full title!]
Dec 28, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
65.4%chance
222282
OptionVotes
1377
729
OptionProbability
85
83
75
50
33
13
6
OptionProbability
36
30
28
6
OptionProbability
23
15
15
15
15
15
Will Tumbles become convinced that local realism is false before 2027? (quantum physics)
Jan 5, 11:04 AMJan 1, 12:20 PM
77.07%chance
280
OptionVotes
133
88
Will CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 500 tpa on December 31, 2026?
Mar 30, 9:46 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM
79.28%chance
160
OptionVotes
160
78
Will CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 2500 tpa on December 31, 2026?
Mar 30, 9:46 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM
72.48%chance
150
OptionVotes
150
10
Will there be a new TRIUMPH OF THE WILL -like film centered on MAGA/Trump by EOY2028?
Jan 20, 9:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
42.87%chance
332
OptionVotes
115
87
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