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Top stories

Parks Fire Near Dublin Spreads to 40 Acres, 0% Contained

Natural Disasters

Parks Fire Near Dublin Spreads to 40 Acres, 0% Contained

Authors

3

4 months ago

Prediction markets for FIRE

Los Angeles Fires - Coordinated Arson?

Jan 10, 8:00 AMJan 10, 7:59 AM

1%chance

69312980

OptionVotes

YES

NO

230319

20

Will Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?

Oct 13, 12:47 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

45%chance

9019108

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2303

1690

Will Trump attempt to fire Jerome Powell before May 2026?

Jul 3, 1:14 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM

9.83%chance

518735

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4084

124

Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series?

Apr 3, 7:06 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

87.79%chance

556315

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2024

1126

Will the sixth novel in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series be released before the death of George R. R. Martin?

Mar 20, 12:36 AMSep 19, 11:00 PM

52.32%chance

926214

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1155

712

Will a specific mid-level bureaucrat be fired under Trump?

Nov 8, 4:34 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

33.58%chance

193764

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1407

711

Will there be a fire alarm for AGI by the end of 2027?

Sep 28, 11:28 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

16.84%chance

312834

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1351

868

Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by 2030?

Jul 24, 10:17 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

67.91%chance

522606

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1200

871

Will the Lakers fire JJ Redick before his 4-year contract ends (in June 2028)?

Sep 30, 7:28 PMJun 22, 3:59 AM

56.93%chance

121717

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1150

870

If I set my curtain on fire and don't attempt to put it out for the first 1 minute, will my house burn down?

Nov 20, 7:10 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

25.48%chance

18623

OptionVotes

NO

YES

991

965

Oct 2 2025 El Segundo refinery fire caused by a deliberate attack?

Oct 3, 5:33 PMOct 31, 11:59 PM

32.24%chance

7465

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1450

690

Will officials determine that the Oct 4, 2025 fire at Judge Diane Goodstein’s home was intentionally set (arson)?

Oct 24, 1:16 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

52.69%chance

5228

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1055

948

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
Natural Disasters
California
Environment
Parks Fire Near Dublin Spreads to 40 Acres, 0% Contained
Authors
3
4 months ago

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