FIRE News
Top stories
Prediction markets for FIRE
Will Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?
Oct 13, 12:47 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
44.04%chance
10223583
OptionVotes
2349
1658
Will the sixth novel in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series be released before the death of George R. R. Martin?
Mar 20, 12:36 AMSep 19, 11:00 PM
59.47%chance
946472
OptionVotes
1041
857
Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series?
Apr 3, 7:06 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM
88.43%chance
576415
OptionVotes
2124
1112
Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by the end of 2030?
Jul 24, 10:17 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
66%chance
556339
OptionVotes
1139
901
Will a specific mid-level bureaucrat be fired under Trump?
Nov 8, 4:34 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM
24.44%chance
224116
OptionVotes
1759
569
Will there be a fire alarm for AGI by the end of 2027?
Sep 28, 11:28 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
18.92%chance
322864
OptionVotes
1213
898
Movie/TV show about Sam Altman's Firing from OpenAI / Battle of the Board, before 2027?
Jun 3, 10:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
76%chance
232243
OptionVotes
1780
562
Will the Lakers fire JJ Redick before his 4-year contract ends (in June 2028)?
Sep 30, 7:28 PMJun 22, 3:59 AM
55.54%chance
121742
OptionVotes
1118
895
Will a NATO aircraft shoot down a missile or drone fired towards a target in Ukraine before 2027?
Apr 15, 7:34 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM
37.06%chance
251349
OptionVotes
1323
727
Will someone have been fired from their job plausibly due to leaking information on Manifold Markets by 2030?
Jan 18, 11:05 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
61.15%chance
291309
OptionVotes
1046
944
If I set my curtain on fire and don't attempt to put it out for the first 1 minute, will my house burn down?
Nov 20, 7:10 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
24.97%chance
19653
OptionVotes
985
984
Will Goldman Sachs fire its banking analysts that took PE jobs?
Jan 13, 1:20 PMDec 25, 1:14 PM
33.54%chance
6434
OptionVotes
1408
711
Latest stories
Latest stories