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First Ladies News

    Prediction markets for First Ladies

    Who will win the 2028 United States Presidential Election?

    Aug 13, 7:21 PMNov 26, 11:59 PM
    701646344

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Jon Ossoff (Georgia Senator)

    JD Vance (Vice President)

    AOC (NY Representative)

    Gavin Newsom (California Governor)

    Marco Rubio (US SoS)

    Ron Desantis (Florida Governor)

    Kamala Harris (Vice President)

    Josh Shapiro (Pennsylvania Governor)

    Pete Buttigieg (Secretary of Transportation)

    JB Pritzker (Illinois Governor)

    Ted Cruz (Texas Senator)

    Mark Kelly (Arizona Senator)

    Donald Trump (45th President)

    Andy Beshear (Kentucky Governor)

    Tim Walz (Minnesota Governor)

    Nikki Haley (South Carolina Governor)

    Gretchen Whitmer (Michigan Governor)

    Michelle Obama (First Lady)

    Glenn Youngkin (Virginia Governor)

    Stephen A. Smith

    Cory Booker (NJ Senator)

    Ruben Gallego (AZ Senator)

    Tulsi Gabbard (DNI)

    Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)

    23

    18

    13

    10

    8

    8

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    OptionProbability

    JD Vance (Vice President)

    Jon Ossoff (Georgia Senator)

    Other

    Marco Rubio (Secretary of State)

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (New York Congresswoman)

    Ron Desantis (Florida Governor)

    Gavin Newsom (California Governor)

    Kamala Harris (Vice President)

    JB Pritzker (Illinois Governor)

    Donald J. Trump (45th & 47th President)

    Josh Shapiro (Pennsylvania Governor)

    Andy Beshear (Kentucky Governor)

    Pete Buttigieg (Biden Secretary of Transportation)

    Gretchen Whitmer (Michigan Governor)

    Donald Trump Jr.

    Greg Abbot (Texas Governor)

    Mark Kelly (Arizona Senator)

    Mike Johnson (Speaker of the House)

    Ro Khanna (California Congressman)

    Tim Walz (Minnesota Governor)

    Nikki Haley (South Carolina Governor)

    Michelle Obama (First Lady)

    Glenn Youngkin (Virginia Governor)

    Mark Cuban

    Wes Moore (Maryland Governor)

    Roy Cooper (North Carolina Governor)

    John Fetterman (Pennsylvania Senator)

    19

    14

    12

    11

    10

    6

    6

    4

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Will the first First Gentleman of the USA be known to be a gamer?

    May 6, 3:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    39.64%chance
    846221

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    2144

    1721

    OptionProbability

    The Democrat party has directly asked mainstream media to promote or repress a news story, and they followed (Only counting incidents in or after 2015)

    TikTok is controlled by the Chinese government

    Someone working for a US intelligence agency was a regular user of Manifold before this option was made

    The culture war has been intentionally amplified by the wealthy to distract from class conflict

    The US has spies working in the North Korean government

    "The Agency" on Manifold was known to the whole Manifold staff team before it started

    The idea of aliens is used by the US to distract people from secret military projects

    The Republican party has been making the illegal immigrant problem worse during 2020-2024 to blame it on Joe Biden during election season

    The Premier League delayed punishing Manchester City for breaking FFP regulations to protect its own self-interests

    The Chinese government planned their Wuhan lockdowns to protect their own country from Covid-19 but spread it to other countries

    Mattress Firm is a money laundering front

    The UK did Nordstream

    The earth and/or universe was created by a God, deity, supernatural being, or some other sentient/conscious entity in the beginning

    Creationism (second try): The earth and/or universe was INTENTIONALLY created and designed by an INDIVIDUAL god or deity at the VERY BEGINNING of its existence

    The US created Covid-19 in a lab in China

    The CIA systematically edits Wikipedia articles to present the US in a better light

    Putin was threatened by a member of his cabinet to invade Ukraine

    John Barnett (Boeing whistleblower) was assassinated

    COVID-19 vaccines permanently change one's DNA or genome

    Creationism (third try): Genesis 1 prima facie is an accurate description of the earth and/or universe's origins

    Vladimir Putin died in 2014 and was secretly replaced by a body double

    In the Tucker & Carlson interview, the dubbed voice of Putin in english is not actually saying what Putin is saying, but instead something completely different

    The 2024 Donald Trump assassination attempt was a hoax or setup

    COVID-19 vaccine is fatal or lethal in the long term

    Phantom Time Hypothesis: A substantial portion of the Middle Ages was made up and never happened

    There is a firmament, dome, or ceiling above the earth

    Viruses/viral particles don't actually exist

    A group of giant people known as the Nephilim once inhabited the earth and cut down the colossal trees, leaving stumps that the general public understands as geological formations like Devils Tower in Wyoming and Giant’s Causeway in Ireland

    Joe Biden to drop out of the 2024 election so that former first lady Michelle Obama could take his place as the Democratic Party's nominee.

    80

    62

    59

    53

    52

    52

    51

    51

    50

    45

    44

    35

    34

    34

    24

    23

    16

    15

    10

    9

    8

    8

    7

    5

    5

    4

    3

    2

    1

    Will the first First Gentleman of the USA be Jewish?

    May 6, 3:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    22.11%chance
    271433

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    988

    953

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1305

    766

    OptionProbability

    No human-faced-scorpion locusts

    No, death will still have an effect until 23-SEPT-2028

    The mark will not appear before 23-SEPT-2028

    No false-prophet will appear

    No whore will appear

    No Two Witnesses will appear

    One or more or all of the negatory responses will be the case until and/or after 23-SEPT-2068, meaning nothing of the above will have happened before the two listed dates

    No temple before 23-SEPT-2028

    Yes temple before 23-SEPT-2028

    The Two Witnesses will start blowing people on fire before 23-SEPT-2028

    The mark will appear before 23-SEPT-2028

    One or more or all of the affirmative responses except will occur before 23-SEPT-2068

    The whure of Babylon is some other woman

    Yes human-faced-scorpion locusts before 23-SEPT-2028

    Yes, death with evade being effective at all, before 23-SEPT-2028

    Elon Musk is the False Prophet

    The new Pope Leo will be either the prophesied last-pope and/or the False Prophet

    The whure of Babylon is the First Lady

    90

    90

    76

    76

    76

    76

    76

    70

    34

    24

    24

    24

    10

    8

    6

    6

    6

    6

    Will the first First Gentleman of the USA be Muslim?

    May 6, 3:53 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    11.2%chance
    7617

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    282

    36

    OptionProbability

    Rigged

    Melania

    Democrat

    Election

    Midterm

    Schumer

    Fake news

    Tariff

    Iran

    Mamdani

    Biden

    Autopen

    76

    55

    50

    45

    34

    34

    34

    20

    20

    13

    10

    8

    Will there be a bald US president before February 2049?

    Sep 12, 5:02 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM
    36.06%chance
    8405

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1331

    751

    Will the first First Gentleman of the USA be atheist?

    May 6, 3:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    33.51%chance
    5278

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    141

    71

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