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Prediction markets for First Ladies
OptionProbability
23
18
13
10
8
8
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)
Aug 13, 7:26 PMAug 26, 10:59 PM
225114087
OptionProbability
19
14
12
11
10
6
6
4
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will the first First Gentleman of the USA be known to be a gamer?
May 6, 3:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
39.64%chance
846221
OptionVotes
2144
1721
What conspiracy theories not included in the linked market will be proven true by 2100?
Feb 3, 12:43 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
365961
OptionProbability
80
62
59
53
52
52
51
51
50
45
44
35
34
34
24
23
16
15
10
9
8
8
7
5
5
4
3
2
1
OptionVotes
988
953
Will the United States will have an Asian-American First Lady before they have an Asian-American president?
Sep 28, 8:42 PMJan 7, 7:59 AM
43.43%chance
17833
OptionVotes
1335
581
If the Take It Down Act becomes law, will it be used against satirists or journalists?
Mar 17, 4:13 PMMay 21, 6:59 AM
37%chance
9694
OptionVotes
1305
766
Will Donald Trump prove to be the lawless-son-of-perdition-beast-and-THE-antichrist by 23-SEPT-2028 and build 3rd-temple
May 30, 9:11 PMSep 23, 11:59 PM
4690
OptionProbability
90
90
76
76
76
76
76
70
34
24
24
24
10
8
6
6
6
6
OptionVotes
282
36
Which words will Trump say at the 2026 White House Thanksgiving turkey pardon?
Nov 3, 1:01 PMNov 23, 2:00 PM
5491
OptionProbability
76
55
50
45
34
34
34
20
20
13
10
8
Will there be a bald US president before February 2049?
Sep 12, 5:02 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM
36.06%chance
8405
OptionVotes
1331
751
OptionVotes
141
71
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