Food and Drug Administration News

FDA Expands Recall of Walmart and Other Frozen Shrimp Brands Over Radioactive Cesium-137 Contamination in Multiple States

1 year ago

HHS Confirms 600 CDC Layoffs as Kennedy Accelerates Agency Overhaul

US Domestic Policy

Politics

HHS Confirms 600 CDC Layoffs as Kennedy Accelerates Agency Overhaul

1 year ago

BeOne Medicines’ Sonrotoclax Meets Main Goal in Mantle Cell Lymphoma Trial

Health

Pharma

Science

BeOne Medicines’ Sonrotoclax Meets Main Goal in Mantle Cell Lymphoma Trial

1 year ago

US Domestic Policy

Bio

Politics

U.S. Accelerates Screwworm Fight With Emergency Drug Powers and $750 Million Fly Factory

1 year ago

US Domestic Policy

Health

Politics

Study Weakens RFK Jr. Conflict Claims as Pediatricians Defy CDC on Covid Shots

1 year ago

US Domestic Policy

Health

Politics

HHS Revives Childhood Vaccine Safety Task Force After 27-Year Hiatus

1 year ago

[ACX 2026] Will the FDA approve a psilocybin treatment during 2026?

Jan 6, 11:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.33%chance

3322452

OptionVotes

YES

6986

4633

FDA approves YCT-529 male birth control pill before 2035?

Jul 1, 5:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24%chance

68682

OptionVotes

YES

17795

5620

Will a Hantavirus Vaccine be created in 2026? [Polymarket]

May 8, 10:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4%chance

396156

OptionVotes

YES

1998

780

Will Ozempic / semaglutide be FDA-approved for Alzheimer's before 2030?

Dec 8, 8:59 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

26.14%chance

393720

OptionVotes

YES

4441

830

Which cases brought by or maintained by the federal government will be dropped during the Trump presidency?

Dec 9, 2:25 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

82247

OptionProbability

KalshiEX LLC v. CFTC (ban on prediction markets for elections)

Ryan v. FTC (Non-compete ban case)

United States v. Sam Bankman-Fried

Clarke v. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (PredictIt Case)

U.S. and Plaintiff States v. Google LLC (Google antitrust case)

Federal Trade Commission, et al. v. Amazon.com, Inc. (Amazon antitrust case)

U.S and Plaintiff States v. Apple Inc. (Apple antitrust case)

United States v. Binance Holdings (charges against Binance for iolating several laws, including the Bank Secrecy Act, the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, and the Commodity Exchange Act)

Federal Trade Commission v. Microsoft Corp. and Activision Blizzard, Inc (Attempt to block Microsoft's merger/acquisition of Activision Blizzard)

United States v. Meta Platforms, Inc. (Meta antitrust case)

TikTok Inc. v. Merrick Garland (TikTok Ban)

United States v. Skrmetti (ban on transgender health care for minors)

Food and Drug Administration v. Wages and White Lion Investments, LLC (E-cigarette supreme court case)

100

Will a gene therapy that edits multiple genes using CRISPR be approved by the FDA before 2030?

Jan 26, 12:13 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

78.93%chance

291208

OptionVotes

YES

1257

900

Will the FDA publicly accept a multi-condition geroscience endpoint as sufficient to establish efficacy before 2036?

Jul 14, 11:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.59%chance

7575

OptionVotes

YES

6240

5801

By 2035, will the FDA approve a drug that slows the yearly progression of Alzheimer's disease by at least 50%?

Jan 14, 10:58 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

57.12%chance

8407

OptionVotes

YES

1154

866

Will the FDA publicly accept a multi-condition geroscience endpoint as sufficient to establish efficacy before 2041?

Jul 14, 11:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.17%chance

2255

OptionVotes

YES

1255

797

Any province legalizes psilocybin for recreational use?

Feb 1, 11:40 AMDec 17, 11:59 PM

9.62%chance

4145

OptionVotes

YES

1040

996

Will the FDA publicly accept a multi-condition geroscience endpoint as sufficient to establish efficacy before 2031?

Jul 14, 11:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.44%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

1050

952

Will all mRNA type vaccines be abolished and pulled off market before 2040?

Oct 13, 4:43 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

17.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

110

Food and Drug Administration News

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Prediction markets for Food and Drug Administration

Prediction markets for Food and Drug Administration

Prediction markets for Food and Drug Administration

[ACX 2026] Will the FDA approve a psilocybin treatment during 2026?

FDA approves YCT-529 male birth control pill before 2035?

Will a Hantavirus Vaccine be created in 2026? [Polymarket]

Will Ozempic / semaglutide be FDA-approved for Alzheimer's before 2030?

Which cases brought by or maintained by the federal government will be dropped during the Trump presidency?

Will a gene therapy that edits multiple genes using CRISPR be approved by the FDA before 2030?

Will the FDA publicly accept a multi-condition geroscience endpoint as sufficient to establish efficacy before 2036?

By 2035, will the FDA approve a drug that slows the yearly progression of Alzheimer's disease by at least 50%?

Will the FDA publicly accept a multi-condition geroscience endpoint as sufficient to establish efficacy before 2041?

Any province legalizes psilocybin for recreational use?

Will the FDA publicly accept a multi-condition geroscience endpoint as sufficient to establish efficacy before 2031?

Will all mRNA type vaccines be abolished and pulled off market before 2040?

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