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Prediction markets for Food and Drug Administration
[ACX 2026] Will the FDA approve a psilocybin treatment during 2026?
Jan 6, 11:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
13.94%chance
177909
OptionVotes
8068
4441
FDA approves YCT-529 male birth control pill before 2035?
Jul 1, 5:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
35.6%chance
64322
OptionVotes
13448
7436
Will Ozempic / semaglutide be FDA-approved for Alzheimer's before 2030?
Dec 8, 8:59 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
27.67%chance
383637
OptionVotes
4323
874
Which cases brought by or maintained by the federal government will be dropped during the Trump presidency?
Dec 9, 2:25 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM
72197
OptionProbability
100
50
50
32
31
31
31
31
31
31
3
0
0
Will a gene therapy that edits multiple genes using CRISPR be approved by the FDA before 2030?
Jan 26, 12:13 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
79.02%chance
271175
OptionVotes
1262
899
Which applications of CRISPR technology will achieve regulatory approval for use in humans by 2030?
Mar 8, 9:11 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
16722
OptionProbability
65
53
34
33
By 2035, will the FDA approve a drug that slows the yearly progression of Alzheimer's disease by at least 50%?
Jan 14, 10:58 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
57.12%chance
8407
OptionVotes
1154
866
Any province legalizes psilocybin for recreational use?
Feb 1, 11:40 AMDec 17, 11:59 PM
9.62%chance
4145
OptionVotes
1040
996
Will the FDA approve MAIA Biotechnology's THIO-101 for the treatment of advanced Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer by Jan 2030?
Oct 26, 3:15 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
84.32%chance
3111
OptionVotes
183
47




