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Prediction markets for Foreign Affairs Ministry
Will Donald Trump visit China before January 1, 2027?
Jul 27, 10:19 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM
86.76%chance
145416
OptionVotes
3456
527
China will directly engage in a military conflict before end of 2026
Mar 11, 12:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
6.12%chance
353812
OptionVotes
3915
255
OptionVotes
1336
748
Will Brazil withdraw from the BRICS organization by the end of 2026?
Oct 5, 12:49 PMDec 31, 8:00 PM
8644
OptionProbability
97
3
OptionProbability
82
5
5
4
3
Will Russia publicly commit to an energy-infrastructure ceasefire with Ukraine before Nov 20, 2026?
Sep 23, 3:23 AMNov 20, 11:59 PM
8.21%chance
12329
OptionVotes
282
68
US and China publicly announce a bilateral AI arrangement before 2027?
May 18, 5:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
25.98%chance
10317
OptionVotes
169
59
Will the Visa Waiver for Canadian travellers to China be renewed before the end of the year?
Nov 2, 10:50 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM
78.31%chance
5110
OptionVotes
190
53
US-China Track 1 AI dialogue commits to shared AI safety benchmark by '27?
Apr 14, 6:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
25%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100
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