Foreign Office News
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Prediction markets for Foreign Office
Will a specific mid-level bureaucrat be fired under Trump?
Nov 8, 4:34 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM
24.44%chance
224116
OptionVotes
1759
569
Will the US Government conduct military operations against 8 or more countries in 2026?
Jan 3, 7:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
60.45%chance
274056
OptionVotes
1236
809
Will SpaceX be nationalized during Trump's second term?
Jun 5, 9:53 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM
6.38%chance
223566
OptionVotes
3830
261
If Trump is elected president, will he approve a new foreign aid package to Ukraine while he is in office?
Mar 9, 9:38 PMNov 1, 6:59 AM
62.91%chance
322780
OptionVotes
1151
891
Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?
Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
74.89%chance
311936
OptionVotes
1629
626
How quickly will USA lift its sanctions on Russia after the end of Russo-Ukrainian hostilities?
Sep 4, 8:14 AMDec 21, 7:59 AM
201408
OptionProbability
36
24
19
14
3
3
By the end of 2028, it will be confirmed that Jeffrey Epstein was an foreign, or domestic intelligence asset.
Dec 20, 7:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
30.96%chance
241185
OptionVotes
149
67
OptionVotes
293
34
OptionVotes
264
190
Will Katharina Reiche stop being the german Minister of Energy by the next regular election?
Mar 5, 3:08 PMSep 27, 11:59 PM
53.08%chance
399
OptionVotes
106
94
[Metaculus] Will Russia significantly incorporate Belarus into the Union State before 2030?
Nov 7, 2:30 PMFeb 2, 12:00 PM
39.8%chance
539
OptionVotes
147
117
Will UK Trade Minister Chris Bryant or his replacement visit Taiwan before 2028?
Jan 3, 3:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
50%chance
122
OptionVotes
100
100