Foreign Office News
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Prediction markets for Foreign Office
If Trump is elected president, will he approve a new foreign aid package to Ukraine while he is in office?
Mar 9, 9:38 PMNov 1, 6:59 AM
92%chance
345041
OptionVotes
3412
390
Will the US Government conduct military operations against 8 or more countries in 2026?
Jan 3, 7:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
64.95%chance
324193
OptionVotes
1361
735
Will a specific mid-level bureaucrat be fired under Trump?
Nov 8, 4:34 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM
24.44%chance
224116
OptionVotes
1759
569
Will SpaceX be nationalized during Trump's second term?
Jun 5, 9:53 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM
6.38%chance
223566
OptionVotes
3830
261
Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?
Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
72.71%chance
332036
OptionVotes
1534
660
How quickly will USA lift its sanctions on Russia after the end of Russo-Ukrainian hostilities?
Sep 4, 8:14 AMDec 21, 7:59 AM
211413
OptionProbability
36
24
19
14
3
3
OptionVotes
377
27
OptionVotes
1336
748
Will Anthropic substantially reduce its London office size?
Jun 13, 1:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
27.39%chance
6665
OptionVotes
1628
614
OptionVotes
293
34
Will Lula finish his fourth term as President of Brasil?
Oct 26, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
83.68%chance
4222
OptionVotes
1220
952
Trump gets ANOTHER uk state visit before the end of his second term
Jan 17, 4:29 AMJan 20, 11:59 AM
29.07%chance
6143
OptionVotes
156
64