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Prediction markets for Framework
Will React still be the most popular front-end framework in 2030?
Jul 8, 3:12 PMJan 2, 2:59 AM
43.65%chance
201820
OptionVotes
1136
880
Will React still be the most popular front-end framework in 2035?
Jul 7, 7:48 PMJan 2, 2:59 AM
19.74%chance
131628
OptionVotes
2017
496
OptionProbability
61
31
6
1
1
1
Will the 3 laws of robotics be used as a framework for an AGI or advanced AI by 2030?
Jan 6, 9:05 PMJan 7, 7:59 AM
14.9%chance
21869
OptionVotes
1430
889
React is no longer the most popular web frontend framework and gets succeeded by:
Jan 18, 1:12 PMJan 1, 6:29 PM
21802
OptionProbability
57
36
21
20
18
15
How will the structural similarity of the three frontier AI safety frameworks (Anthropic RSP, OpenAI Preparedness, GDM F
Jul 18, 3:52 AMJun 30, 4:59 AM
3603
OptionProbability
53
33
14
Will it be possible to acquire or assemble a Framework laptop with a trackpoint?
Jul 31, 2:54 PMSep 15, 9:59 PM
17.91%chance
11351
OptionVotes
151
30
Will pytorch be most used autodiff framework as of the end of 2026?
Dec 18, 8:50 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
83.02%chance
7153
OptionVotes
257
109
Will the US establish a clear AI developer liability framework for AI harms by 2028?
Apr 28, 1:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
47.15%chance
7136
OptionVotes
166
122
Will any democratic nation implement a legal framework for compensating living organ donors by 2034?
Nov 8, 11:55 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM
76.66%chance
4118
OptionVotes
179
103
OptionVotes
156
64
Will "xAI's new safety framework is dreadful" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Sep 6, 2:42 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
13.97%chance
224
OptionVotes
1002
1000
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