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Prediction markets for France 24
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
94
92
91
88
86
84
84
83
72
71
55
55
50
48
48
45
44
41
40
38
36
29
28
27
27
26
26
26
25
23
23
21
20
19
17
13
11
11
8
7
6
6
6
5
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
0
Will the energy biding zones for either Germany or France be split by 2030?
Feb 15, 7:29 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
14.7%chance
43313
OptionVotes
2408
415
OptionProbability
100
100
60
51
33
31
28
23
17
11
OptionProbability
24
22
19
6
0
0
0
What lasting peace deal will come first? Russia's or Iran's?
Aug 29, 8:29 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM
30%chance
8681
OptionVotes
990
102
Will we get a cure for cancer before we get fusion reactors?
May 9, 8:50 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM
20.6%chance
28679
OptionVotes
1191
920
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027
Sep 11, 4:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
76.29%chance
10325
OptionVotes
154
83
OptionProbability
73
13
10
3
OptionProbability
44
26
19
11
Will France's next president officially apologize to Algeria for colonization?
Jul 25, 1:17 PMMay 30, 11:59 PM
35.21%chance
550
OptionVotes
136
74
Global media opinion of Obama will improve from EOY 2023 to mid year 2027, according to OpenAI's best LLM
Dec 18, 9:57 PMJul 1, 5:59 AM
66.12%chance
435
OptionVotes
70
36


