Freedom of Information News

UK Files Reveal Chagos Exit May Cost £35 Billion, Far Exceeding Prior Claim

3 days ago

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.02%chance

7532370

OptionVotes

YES

25533

3383

Will the U.S. slide into the tenets of fascism under Trump’s second term by the end of 2025?

Mar 14, 8:07 AMJan 1, 10:59 AM

482805

OptionProbability

Authoritarian Leadership

Forcible Suppression of Opposition

Extreme Nationalism and/or Race-Based Policies

Militarism and Political Violence

Regimentation of Society and Economy

Rejection of Pluralism and Democracy

Will a FOIA request reveal that Kalshi was primarily responsible for CFTC's decision to shut down PredictIt?

Aug 8, 6:58 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.03%chance

302086

OptionVotes

YES

1513

853

Will Zelenskyy Be Illiberal by 2030?

Jan 24, 8:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.35%chance

351145

OptionVotes

YES

1129

724

NSC wins seats in 2025 Dutch Elections?

Jun 4, 8:08 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

10.94%chance

8597

OptionVotes

YES

285

Will the existence of a U.S. government program named "Immaculate Constellation" be confirmed by FOIA before 2026?

Oct 8, 11:20 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

50%chance

6325

OptionVotes

YES

100

Wuhan Institute of Virology defector before 2040

May 16, 12:04 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

42.71%chance

20308

OptionVotes

YES

1029

953

[Metaculus] Will Freedom House report that internet freedom has declined every year until 2025?

Nov 9, 12:20 AMJan 2, 12:00 AM

88.75%chance

8235

OptionVotes

YES

338

What are Donald Trumps real goals in relation with Greenland?

May 13, 8:17 PMDec 31, 9:16 PM

9180

OptionProbability

Ensure future safety of arctic shipping lines

Mining for Rare earths, ores or coal

Server farms and data centers (such as for AI)

Expansion of military bases (also in accordance with european goals)

52. State of America (or 51. if Canada successfully rejects)

Olympic Winter Games

How will Australia's freedom index change in 2026?

May 26, 8:38 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM

385

OptionProbability

It drops below 95

It rises above 95

It stays at 95

It drops below 90

If Aliens Experience More Meaningful Lives Than us, Ought we Accept Our Demise? (Read Description)

Apr 16, 6:00 PM

130

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Aug 11, 2025
Aug 11, 2025
Africa
Britain
Politics
UK Files Reveal Chagos Exit May Cost £35 Billion, Far Exceeding Prior Claim
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3 days ago

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Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Will the U.S. slide into the tenets of fascism under Trump’s second term by the end of 2025?

Will a FOIA request reveal that Kalshi was primarily responsible for CFTC's decision to shut down PredictIt?

Will Zelenskyy Be Illiberal by 2030?

NSC wins seats in 2025 Dutch Elections?

Will the existence of a U.S. government program named "Immaculate Constellation" be confirmed by FOIA before 2026?

Wuhan Institute of Virology defector before 2040

[Metaculus] Will Freedom House report that internet freedom has declined every year until 2025?

What are Donald Trumps real goals in relation with Greenland?

How will Australia's freedom index change in 2026?

If Aliens Experience More Meaningful Lives Than us, Ought we Accept Our Demise? (Read Description)

Latest stories

Join our channels

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Telegram