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Top stories

Watchdog Says NEA and AFT Steered $43 Million to Democratic-Aligned Groups

Watchdog Says NEA and AFT Steered $43 Million to Democratic-Aligned Groups

Authors

4

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Future Forward

By which date will the state-of-the-art LLM use latent space to reason?

Nov 9, 5:02 AMJan 2, 5:01 AM

166776

OptionProbability

Jan 1, 2029

Jan 1, 2028

Jan 1, 2027

65

54

18

Cybertruck drives on moon or other solar planetary body

Mar 28, 3:32 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

32%chance

375156

OptionVotes

NO

YES

986

980

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May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM

32.76%chance

43511

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12331

8645

Will MISO Indiana Hub 2028 day-ahead annual average exceed US$60/MWh?

May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM

28.58%chance

42706

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12128

9013

Will the Forward Party become a meaningful actor in the US political scene?

Aug 2, 4:40 PMNov 7, 10:59 PM

3.55%chance

191066

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YES

NO

1229

957

Fedorov to announce candidacy for elections in Ukraine before 2027?

Jul 20, 2:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.79%chance

7286

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YES

NO

137

73

Will Ed Balls stand for election as an MP before 2030?

Jul 3, 5:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12%chance

5223

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YES

NO

271

37

Prediction markets legalized in India by 2035?

Dec 22, 7:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.99%chance

7157

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

65

Will Iran run out of ballistic missiles before the coalition runs out of interceptors?

Mar 16, 9:29 PMMar 16, 9:28 PM

65.93%chance

12152

OptionVotes

NO

YES

139

72

Will the U3O8 spot price exceed $60 per pound on September 29, 2026?

Mar 2, 9:11 PMSep 29, 9:09 PM

82.11%chance

4107

OptionVotes

NO

YES

207

55

Will the U3O8 spot price exceed $90 per pound on August 29, 2026?

Mar 2, 9:10 PMAug 29, 9:09 PM

47.7%chance

362

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

96

How far will the Florida Panthers go in the 2026-27 NHL playoffs?

Jun 25, 1:27 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

23

OptionProbability

Reach the Stanley Cup Final but lose

Win the Stanley Cup

Miss the playoffs entirely

Eliminated in the first round

Eliminated in the second round

Eliminated in the Eastern Conference Fin

18

18

16

16

16

16

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Aug 24, 2025
Aug 24, 2025
US Elections
Education
Politics
Watchdog Says NEA and AFT Steered $43 Million to Democratic-Aligned Groups
Authors
4
1 year ago

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