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Prediction markets for Galaxy
Will the first person to circumnavigate the galaxy be back to Earth by 2100?
Oct 19, 5:37 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
3.67%chance
71136
OptionVotes
466
80
As of our 2023 light cone, is there extraterrestrial life in the galaxy?
Mar 25, 3:39 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM
55.01%chance
16722
OptionVotes
1029
970
Will "On Owning Galaxies" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Jan 7, 7:47 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
8.31%chance
4668
OptionVotes
1654
921
Will the Milky Way collide with the Andromeda galaxy?
Sep 30, 10:37 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
79.58%chance
18557
OptionVotes
998
942
OptionVotes
1047
417
Will we observe a supernova in the Milky Way Galaxy before 2050?
Aug 2, 4:58 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM
74.71%chance
15324
OptionVotes
293
96
Will "From Vitalik: Galaxy brain resistance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Nov 12, 12:57 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
11.13%chance
3271
OptionVotes
1253
964
Will AGI successfully intervene and prevent the collision between the Milky Way Galaxy and the Andromeda Galaxy?
May 3, 4:53 PMDec 4, 5:59 AM
21.3%chance
8267
OptionVotes
175
79
Biological post-humans with 50B+ neurons in Andromeda galaxy by 3M CE?
May 14, 2:24 PMDec 31, 3:19 PM
60.3%chance
889
OptionVotes
123
81
OptionVotes
130
77
Will Samsung switch to horizontal camera layout on the next galaxy S phone?
Aug 18, 9:15 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM
43.46%chance
342
OptionVotes
568
553
OptionVotes
110
98
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