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Gamma News

    Prediction markets for Gamma

    OptionProbability

    It's just hysteria/mistaken sightings

    Two or more propositions in this market excluding this one will resolve as true/yes

    Many of them are hobbyist drones looking for/chasing the "original" drones

    The drones will have mostly vanished by inauguration

    They record images/video using digital cameras

    More drones are flying at night after a Sept 2023 change in FAA regulations, leading to an increase in sightings

    Their true nature will remain a mystery

    Four or more propositions in this market excluding this one will resolve as true/yes

    Belong to a hobbyist

    Local officials lack equipment sensitive enough to gauge size and relative threat

    At least 1 drone is shot down and recovered

    Uses cellular networks to send and receive data

    Belong to an activist

    Major Mexican TV network runs story implying drones are alien tech

    Linked to illegal drug activity

    Some drones use advanced technology not available to the public

    An adversary is trying to force the US's hand into revealing their anti-drone tech

    Redditor on r/UFOs (post with >= 10k upvotes) claims abduction by drones

    Belong to a start-up

    Someone will attempt to shoot down a drone and end up injuring themselves or others

    they're designed to look like a commercial jet

    Does not use cellular networks to send and receive data

    Belong to a large company

    Belong to the US military/gov

    Operated by (foreign) intelligence agency / military of a US adversary

    Are investigating Plasmoids

    They’re looking for ionizing radiation

    Hoax put on specifically by Anthpo

    Are investigating Gamma Radiation

    Operated by (foreign) intelligence agency / military of a country allied to the US

    Linked to Russia (government/military)

    It's a publicity stunt for a company

    Belong to a foreign government/agency

    Aliens

    Linked to Blockchain technology

    AI superintelligence

    Terrorism

    It's a new delivery service

    Linked to North Korea

    Linked to China (government/military)

    100% of all footage of the drones was AI generated

    Secret private industry ARVs investigating the orbs individuals are summoning through meditation.

    99

    98

    97

    92

    88

    85

    83

    83

    81

    76

    49

    28

    24

    22

    20

    20

    19

    16

    14

    14

    12

    9

    8

    6

    6

    6

    5

    5

    5

    4

    4

    3

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Zoomer

    Alpha

    Millennial

    Gamma

    Beta

    67

    9

    9

    6

    5

    4

    Will the Psyche orbiter reach Psyche and be functional?

    Sep 9, 2:40 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
    90.76%chance
    8352

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    420

    110

    OptionProbability

    Minase Rio

    Yatogami Fuma

    Utsugi Uyu

    Hizaki Gamma

    40

    28

    28

    4

    OptionProbability

    A humanoid robot completes a full Marathon race.

    A humanoid robot is featured on the cover of a major fashion magazine.

    A humanoid robot is featured on the cover of Time magazine.

    A humanoid robot capable of bipedal motion and natural language communication available for sale on Amazon.

    72

    50

    50

    45

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    130

    111

    OptionProbability

    Hydrogen

    Helium

    Lithium to neon

    Sodium to argon

    Potassium to iron

    Cobalt to xenon

    Cesium or heavier

    14

    14

    14

    14

    14

    14

    14

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