Gaza Government News

Gaza City Families Stay Amid Israeli Strikes, Evacuation Orders to 19 Disputed Zones Ahead of Military Operation

7 months ago

After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?

Nov 2, 6:19 PMNov 9, 11:59 PM

22828707

OptionProbability

Technocratic committee, not elected, internationally supervised

Israel

Hamas

PLO

International Peacekeeping Force

Other

Arab only Peacekeeping Force

A new Gaza-elected government

United States

PLA

African Peacekeeping Force

Egypt

United Arab Emirates

Qatar

Jordan

Saudi Arabia

Palestinian Islamic Jihad

Territorial rule by tribal clans

Turkey

What is Israel’s medium-term plan (what will end up happening?)?

Oct 31, 4:20 PMDec 28, 9:59 PM

413600

OptionProbability

Permanently occupy Gaza like they’re occupying the West Bank

Other

Kill some Hamas leaders, then get out

Install a puppet government

Permanently cut gaza in half, occupy the North

Get bogged down in a stalemate

How many G7 countries recognize Palestine by end of 2026?

Jul 29, 11:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21970

OptionProbability

Above 0

Above 1

Above 4

Above 6

100

Will the United States military fully leave Iraq by the end of 2028?

Mar 15, 3:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.36%chance

14885

OptionVotes

YES

1027

961

Gaza genocide still labeled as genocide by Wikipedia in 2030?

Oct 21, 12:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.97%chance

9549

OptionVotes

YES

120

Hamas-Israel hostilities in Gaza resume by June 30, 2026?

Oct 12, 10:32 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

60.51%chance

16386

OptionVotes

YES

124

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.28%chance

7315

OptionVotes

YES

1051

819

Multibet Mansion – combine multiple bets into one

Oct 13, 12:58 AMDec 30, 2:31 PM

5294

OptionProbability

[Wikipedia declares Israeli victory in Gaza war] and [Wikipedia declares Ukrainian victory against Russia]

By end of 2026: [Iran closes Strait of Hormuz] and [Iran acquires nuclear weapon]

In 2025: [Pope Leo XIV named Time’s Person of the Year] and [Pope Leo XIV openly criticises Trump]

In 2025: [Trump is on Time’s Person of the Year shortlist] and [Trump cuts >250,000 government employees]

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Mar 11, 11:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10%chance

7218

OptionVotes

YES

300

Will Israel hand over Hamas-free parts of Gaza to Trump's ISF?

Oct 20, 12:40 AMOct 7, 7:02 PM

50%chance

245

OptionVotes

YES

100

What news headline would destroy your net worth the most?

Oct 16, 5:55 AM

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Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
Gaza City Families Stay Amid Israeli Strikes, Evacuation Orders to 19 Disputed Zones Ahead of Military Operation
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7 months ago

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Prediction markets for Gaza Government

After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?

What is Israel’s medium-term plan (what will end up happening?)?

How many G7 countries recognize Palestine by end of 2026?

Will the United States military fully leave Iraq by the end of 2028?

Gaza genocide still labeled as genocide by Wikipedia in 2030?

Hamas-Israel hostilities in Gaza resume by June 30, 2026?

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Multibet Mansion – combine multiple bets into one

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Will Israel hand over Hamas-free parts of Gaza to Trump's ISF?

What news headline would destroy your net worth the most?

Latest stories

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