OptionProbability
Hamas
Israel
Technocratic committee, not elected, internationally supervised
PLO
International Peacekeeping Force
Other
Arab only Peacekeeping Force
A new Gaza-elected government
United States
Territorial rule by tribal clans
PLA
African Peacekeeping Force
Egypt
United Arab Emirates
Qatar
Jordan
Saudi Arabia
Palestinian Islamic Jihad
Turkey
28
27
25
8
5
2
1
0
Permanently occupy Gaza like they’re occupying the West Bank
Kill some Hamas leaders, then get out
Install a puppet government
Permanently cut gaza in half, occupy the North
Get bogged down in a stalemate
61
17
10
9
3
Above 0
Above 1
Above 4
Above 6
100
60
4
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1027
961
110
91
114
88
By end of 2026: [Iran closes Strait of Hormuz] and [Iran acquires nuclear weapon]
[Wikipedia declares Israeli victory in Gaza war] and [Wikipedia declares Ukrainian victory against Russia]
In 2025: [Pope Leo XIV named Time’s Person of the Year] and [Pope Leo XIV openly criticises Trump]
In 2025: [Trump is on Time’s Person of the Year shortlist] and [Trump cuts >250,000 government employees]
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