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GenAI Infrastructure News

    Prediction markets for GenAI Infrastructure

    What will happen to OpenAI by 1st January 2029

    Jul 13, 6:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    91063

    OptionProbability

    It IPOs at an IPO Price that gives a $1trillion or higher valuation

    It does another private round at a lower valuation (or flat) than it's March 2026 post-money valuation of $852billion (taking this valuation even through this would imply the round was smaller due to Amazon money not coming through)

    It IPOs at an IPO Price below a $1trillion valuation

    It IPOs at a price that is a down round (or flat) from it's last (March 2026) post-money private valuation of $852billion

    OpenAI is acquired by another company either fully or as an acquihire

    62

    31

    30

    25

    22

    Will CRWV270115C00140000 expire in-the-money?

    Jan 20, 3:03 PMJan 15, 4:00 PM
    40.47%chance
    274

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    121

    82

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