General Assembly News

Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?

Mar 25, 11:43 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

3.1%chance

8225584

OptionVotes

YES

4756

624

Will Palestine become a full United Nations member state before 2030?

Nov 17, 7:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15%chance

312810

OptionVotes

YES

1844

761

🇮🇱 Will 'Greater Israel' successfully include all the territories of Gaza and West Bank by 2030? 🇮🇱

Nov 1, 6:37 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

37.97%chance

282095

OptionVotes

YES

1148

601

Will UNRWA continue to operate in the Palestinian territories (Gaza or West Bank) by EOY 2025?

Feb 25, 5:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80.06%chance

211297

OptionVotes

YES

1336

816

Will there be a United Nations General Assembly discussing the benefits and risks of AGI before June 2026?

Jun 13, 7:28 PMJun 3, 4:41 PM

46.74%chance

14929

OptionVotes

YES

1068

937

Will a general molecular assembler, as imagined by Eric Drexler, be built before 2035?

Nov 2, 4:01 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

32.46%chance

14587

OptionVotes

YES

1139

442

How many G7 countries recognize Palestine by end of 2026?

Jul 29, 11:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15548

UK recognizes Palestine as a state at the UN General Assembly in September 2025

Jul 29, 8:41 PMSep 25, 11:59 PM

57.8%chance

10510

OptionVotes

YES

1170

854

Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council in the next 5 years?

Nov 5, 3:13 AMNov 12, 4:59 AM

7.22%chance

12378

OptionVotes

YES

1142

963

Will there be a new UN-recognized country before 2030?

Apr 4, 11:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.73%chance

11220

OptionVotes

YES

1021

917

How many seats will the Democrats win in New Jersey’s 2025 General Assembly election?

Apr 26, 3:36 AMNov 11, 11:59 PM

3182

Who will be the next UN General secretary?

Apr 12, 11:31 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

6105

OptionProbability

Other

Rafael Grossi [Argentinian diplomat - director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency]

Mia Mottley [Prime Minister of Barbados]

Juan Manuel Santos [former Colombian president – a Nobel peace Prize laureate]

Alicia Bárcena [Mexico’s foreign affairs secretary]

Rebeca Grynspan [high-level UN official and former vice president of Costa Rica]

Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés [former president of the UN General Assembly and former minister of Ecuador]

General Assembly News

Prediction markets for General Assembly

Prediction markets for General Assembly

Prediction markets for General Assembly

Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?

Will Palestine become a full United Nations member state before 2030?

🇮🇱 Will 'Greater Israel' successfully include all the territories of Gaza and West Bank by 2030? 🇮🇱

Will UNRWA continue to operate in the Palestinian territories (Gaza or West Bank) by EOY 2025?

Will there be a United Nations General Assembly discussing the benefits and risks of AGI before June 2026?

Will a general molecular assembler, as imagined by Eric Drexler, be built before 2035?

How many G7 countries recognize Palestine by end of 2026?

UK recognizes Palestine as a state at the UN General Assembly in September 2025

Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council in the next 5 years?

Will there be a new UN-recognized country before 2030?

How many seats will the Democrats win in New Jersey’s 2025 General Assembly election?

Who will be the next UN General secretary?

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