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Prediction markets for Geneva
OptionVotes
2033
493
Donald Trump utilisera-t-il la bombe nucléaire contre l' Iran pour gagner la guerre ?
Apr 1, 11:36 AMApr 1, 11:35 AM
3.66%chance
61198
OptionVotes
513
19
Will any member of Trump's cabinet be convicted of a war crime by end 2040?
Dec 10, 2:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
13.58%chance
6672
OptionVotes
1449
911
OptionProbability
82
10
6
2
Will the International Court of Justice rule in favor of Guyana in their case against Venezuela?
Dec 6, 2:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
90.49%chance
6265
OptionVotes
287
57
Will any country leave the 1967 protocol of the Geneva convention on refugees by dec 31st 2026?
Nov 26, 8:32 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
27.06%chance
11250
OptionVotes
309
184
US and China publicly announce a bilateral AI arrangement before 2027?
May 18, 5:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
15%chance
8239
OptionVotes
238
42
US-China Track 1 AI dialogue commits to shared AI safety benchmark by '27?
Apr 14, 6:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
25%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100