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Prediction markets for German
Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?
Aug 18, 12:37 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
66.35%chance
8719420
OptionVotes
1398
746
Will any German State Prime Minister in 2026 be elected with AfD support?
Dec 7, 7:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
55.38%chance
2111436
OptionVotes
11140
8977
Will the German AfD be in power on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
Sep 18, 10:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
28%chance
365305
OptionVotes
1604
624
OptionVotes
1525
656
If asked, will the German Constitutional Court decide to ban the AfD?
Jan 20, 9:46 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
30.92%chance
423097
OptionVotes
1094
692
Will the German Interior Ministry succeed in banning the right-wing "Compact" magazine?
Jul 16, 8:09 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
16.64%chance
71820
OptionVotes
2238
447
Will the FDP receive more than 5% of the vote in the next German federal election (regularly in 2029)?
Mar 3, 9:59 PMMar 31, 9:59 PM
28.33%chance
111390
OptionVotes
1611
641
Will the next German Chancellor be elected with AfD support?
Dec 7, 4:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
37.41%chance
11987
OptionVotes
2286
1778
[Making Sense: Peter Zeihan] Will the german state cease to exist before 2070?
Feb 23, 8:06 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
18.25%chance
18894
OptionVotes
1259
922
Will the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?
Oct 27, 10:32 PMDec 8, 11:59 PM
39.28%chance
9709
OptionVotes
1243
804
Will one of the significant German car manufacturers cease to exist by 2030?
Apr 9, 1:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
33.38%chance
10598
OptionVotes
1413
708
Any viable coalition without AfD/BSW/Left? (German federal election)
Apr 24, 9:34 PMMar 25, 12:59 AM
66.16%chance
9512
OptionVotes
1398
715