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Top stories

Germany, France, Spain Set October Talks to Salvage €100 Billion FCAS Jet

Germany, France, Spain Set October Talks to Salvage €100 Billion FCAS Jet

Authors

13

8 months ago

Prediction markets for German

Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?

Aug 18, 12:37 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

67.86%chance

8819470

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1448

722

Will any German State Prime Minister in 2026 be elected with AfD support?

Dec 7, 7:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.46%chance

2512587

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10935

9145

Will Markus Söder ever be German chancellor?

Jan 29, 3:53 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7.98%chance

226754

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2691

709

Will the German AfD be in power on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?

Sep 18, 10:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35%chance

395554

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1363

734

Will the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?

Oct 27, 10:32 PMDec 8, 11:59 PM

47.68%chance

203326

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1048

955

Will German trains be on time again by 2030?

May 23, 2:10 PMJul 1, 9:59 PM

30.07%chance

213306

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1525

656

If asked, will the German Constitutional Court decide to ban the AfD?

Jan 20, 9:46 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

27.89%chance

433297

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1059

775

Will the FDP receive more than 5% of the vote in the next German federal election (regularly in 2029)?

Mar 3, 9:59 PMMar 31, 9:59 PM

28.33%chance

111390

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1611

641

Will the next German Chancellor be elected with AfD support?

Dec 7, 4:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.41%chance

11987

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2286

1778

[Making Sense: Peter Zeihan] Will the german state cease to exist before 2070?

Feb 23, 8:06 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

18.25%chance

18894

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1259

922

Will one of the significant German car manufacturers cease to exist by 2030?

Apr 9, 1:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.38%chance

10598

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1413

708

Any viable coalition without AfD/BSW/Left? (German federal election)

Apr 24, 9:34 PMMar 25, 12:59 AM

66.16%chance

9512

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1398

715

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
France
Germany
Spain
Germany, France, Spain Set October Talks to Salvage €100 Billion FCAS Jet
Authors
13
8 months ago

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