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Prediction markets for German
Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?
Aug 18, 12:37 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
57.71%chance
8118684
OptionVotes
1157
893
OptionVotes
1657
832
OptionVotes
1225
816
If asked, will the German Constitutional Court decide to ban the AfD?
Jan 20, 9:46 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
35%chance
372571
OptionVotes
1139
599
Will the German AfD be part of a ruling coalition on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
Feb 12, 9:43 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
14.74%chance
192320
OptionVotes
2405
416
Will the German Interior Ministry succeed in banning the right-wing "Compact" magazine?
Jul 16, 8:09 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
15.41%chance
61800
OptionVotes
2343
427
Will the German standard VAT rate increase by December 31st 2025?
Feb 12, 6:51 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM
12.86%chance
71603
OptionVotes
2603
384
Will the FDP receive more than 5% of the vote in the next German federal election (regularly in 2029)?
Mar 3, 9:59 PMMar 31, 9:59 PM
39.17%chance
101040
OptionVotes
1246
803
[Making Sense: Peter Zeihan] Will the german state cease to exist before 2070?
Feb 23, 8:06 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
18.25%chance
18894
OptionVotes
1259
922
Will one of the significant German car manufacturers cease to exist by 2030?
Apr 9, 1:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
33.38%chance
10598
OptionVotes
1413
708
Will the German Football Federation successfully transition to Nike by 2027?
Mar 21, 10:42 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
86.16%chance
10315
OptionVotes
1240
916
Will the broadly centrist parties still have a majority after the next German Bundestag election?
Apr 24, 9:34 PMMar 25, 12:59 AM
63%chance
7305
OptionVotes
1305
766
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