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Prediction markets for German
Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?
Aug 18, 12:37 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
70.94%chance
8519270
OptionVotes
1559
672
Will the German AfD be part of a ruling coalition on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
Feb 12, 9:43 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
13.39%chance
265299
OptionVotes
2543
393
OptionVotes
1826
806
OptionVotes
1375
727
Will the German AfD be in power on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
Sep 18, 10:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
45.66%chance
202786
OptionVotes
1091
917
If asked, will the German Constitutional Court decide to ban the AfD?
Jan 20, 9:46 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
33.31%chance
382660
OptionVotes
1120
635
Will the German Interior Ministry succeed in banning the right-wing "Compact" magazine?
Jul 16, 8:09 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
15.41%chance
61800
OptionVotes
2343
427
Will the FDP receive more than 5% of the vote in the next German federal election (regularly in 2029)?
Mar 3, 9:59 PMMar 31, 9:59 PM
37.34%chance
101090
OptionVotes
1311
787
[Making Sense: Peter Zeihan] Will the german state cease to exist before 2070?
Feb 23, 8:06 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
18.25%chance
18894
OptionVotes
1259
922
Will one of the significant German car manufacturers cease to exist by 2030?
Apr 9, 1:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
33.38%chance
10598
OptionVotes
1413
708
Will the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?
Oct 27, 10:32 PMDec 8, 11:59 PM
40.03%chance
8554
OptionVotes
1224
817
Any viable coalition without AfD/BSW/Left? (German federal election)
Apr 24, 9:34 PMMar 25, 12:59 AM
67.92%chance
9455
OptionVotes
1455
687