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Prediction markets for GLOB
Will global greenhouse gas emissions in 2026 be lower than global greenhouse gas emissions in 2025?
Jun 2, 4:04 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
39.48%chance
7327998
OptionVotes
13738
6375
Will a global catastrophe kill at least 10% of humans before 2100, and what will be the cause?
Jul 21, 12:41 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
6217917
OptionProbability
60
12
11
9
5
3
1
Will global iron + steel slag output exceed 600 million tonnes in 2030?
Nov 26, 5:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
65.07%chance
1517421
OptionVotes
13650
7326
Will LFP batteries account for more than 65% of global electric vehicle battery production (by GWh) in 2026?
Mar 21, 2:23 AMDec 31, 5:00 AM
39.95%chance
1412824
OptionVotes
12260
8157
OptionProbability
25
16
12
12
11
10
7
2
2
1
1
Will Emirates Global Aluminium (EGA)'s primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 2.8 million tonnes?
May 4, 5:53 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM
42.62%chance
810267
OptionVotes
11603
8618
Will Emirates Global Aluminium (EGA)'s primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 2.8 million tonnes?
May 4, 5:53 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM
52.89%chance
69260
OptionVotes
10595
9438
Will AI cause a global catastrophe killing at least 10% of humans before 2100?
Jul 21, 12:31 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
29.7%chance
193763
OptionVotes
1435
726
Will there be a global pause on the largest AI training runs at any point before AGI?
May 29, 5:12 PMJan 1, 6:05 PM
42.5%chance
233523
OptionVotes
2153
1456
What percentage of the global population will be internet users in 2030?
Mar 17, 4:49 PMJan 1, 6:01 AM
75.61%chance
631963
OptionProbability
6946
6031
Will you be able to float globs of ferrofluid in your room by 2030?
Jul 28, 5:18 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM
18.56%chance
18659
OptionVotes
1482
836
Will the U.S. or Israel be at war with Iran at any point during the year in which global peak oil is reached?
May 10, 2:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
00
OptionProbability
25
25
25
25
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