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Prediction markets for GLOB
Is establishing a truth economy that produces more than 50% of the global GDP before AI fooms critical to survival?
May 18, 4:27 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
39.58%chance
7634311
OptionVotes
1236
809
Will global greenhouse gas emissions in 2025 be lower than global greenhouse gas emissions in 2024?
May 11, 9:53 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
21.75%chance
3623586
OptionVotes
10465
9846
Will a global catastrophe kill at least 10% of humans before 2100, and what will be the cause?
Jul 21, 12:41 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
6217808
OptionProbability
60
12
11
10
3
3
1
OptionProbability
25
19
13
11
11
10
5
2
1
1
1
Will global greenhouse gas emissions in 2026 be lower than global greenhouse gas emissions in 2025?
Jun 2, 4:04 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
53%chance
458657
OptionVotes
10942
8778
Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2025, according to Berkeley Earth?
Jan 13, 3:56 AMJan 13, 7:59 AM
8.25%chance
308483
OptionVotes
2913
147
OptionVotes
3116
321
Will AI cause a global catastrophe killing at least 10% of humans before 2100?
Jul 21, 12:31 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
25.02%chance
153649
OptionVotes
1632
652
What percentage of the global population will be internet users in 2030?
Mar 17, 4:49 PMJan 1, 6:01 AM
76.18%chance
621913
OptionProbability
7104
5981
Will you be able to float globs of ferrofluid in your room by 2030?
Jul 28, 5:18 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM
18.57%chance
18658
OptionVotes
1481
836
Will global iron + steel slag output exceed 600 million tonnes in 2030?
Nov 26, 5:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
48.13%chance
2418
OptionVotes
10381
9633
By how many years would AGI-induced transformative impact (defined as sustained global GDP growth of +5% annually) be de
May 18, 7:34 PMDec 31, 8:31 PM
00
OptionProbability
14
14
14
14
14
14
14
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