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Goldman News

    Prediction markets for Goldman

    S&P 500 hits 8000 in 2026?

    May 27, 6:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    23%chance
    5334377

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1830

    547

    OptionProbability

    Mark Zuckerberg at Meta

    Jensen Huang at Nvidia

    Dario Amodei at Anthropic

    Elon Musk at Tesla

    Sundar Pichai at Google

    Ma Huateng at Tencent

    Shantanu Narayen at Adobe

    Andy Jassy at Amazon

    Mary Barra at General Motors

    David Solomon at Goldman Sachs

    Masayoshi Son at SoftBank

    Andrew Wilson at Electronic Arts

    C. C. Wei at TSMC

    Tim Cook at Apple

    Warren Buffett at Berkshire Hathaway

    Doug McMillon at Walmart

    Pat Gelsinger at Intel

    Bob Iger at Disney

    Herbert Diess at Volkswagen

    Linda Yaccarino at Twitter

    67

    26

    25

    21

    20

    20

    20

    18

    18

    17

    17

    15

    12

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Will >97% of all jobs be fully automated before the year 2075?

    Aug 29, 10:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    62.77%chance
    10916674

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1505

    729

    OptionProbability

    Micron Technology (MU)

    Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)

    Chevron (CVX)

    ExxonMobil (XOM)

    Merck & Co. (MRK)

    Apple (AAPL)

    Applied Materials (AMAT)

    Coca-Cola (KO)

    Cisco (CSCO)

    Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)

    Philip Morris (PM)

    Costco (COST)

    Alphabet Class C (GOOG)

    Lam Research (LRCX)

    UnitedHealth Group (UNH)

    Amazon (AMZN)

    Walmart (WMT)

    Citigroup (C)

    Alphabet Class A (GOOGL)

    Broadcom (AVGO)

    Nvidia (NVDA)

    Palantir Technologies (PLTR)

    Procter & Gamble (PG)

    Morgan Stanley (MS)

    Microsoft (MSFT)

    Meta Platforms (META)

    Caterpillar (CAT)

    Eli Lilly (LLY)

    Goldman Sachs (GS)

    Visa (V)

    AbbVie (ABBV)

    JPMorgan Chase (JPM)

    Bank of America (BAC)

    RTX Corporation (RTX)

    GE Aerospace (GE)

    Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO)

    Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B)

    Mastercard (MA)

    Salesforce (CRM)

    Home Depot (HD)

    IBM (IBM)

    Tesla (TSLA)

    T-Mobile US (TMUS)

    Abbott Laboratories (ABT)

    Wells Fargo (WFC)

    Oracle (ORCL)

    American Express (AXP)

    Netflix (NFLX)

    McDonald's (MCD)

    AppLovin (APP)

    99

    97

    93

    92

    91

    88

    88

    87

    84

    83

    81

    79

    75

    75

    72

    59

    49

    48

    43

    41

    40

    39

    39

    39

    38

    38

    37

    36

    34

    31

    30

    28

    26

    24

    23

    23

    20

    20

    18

    12

    10

    9

    9

    9

    8

    7

    7

    6

    6

    3

    OptionProbability

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Hakeem Jeffries

    Ritchie Torres

    Ilhan Omar

    Randy Fine

    Henry Cuellar

    Marie Gluesenkamp Perez

    Mike Lee

    Nancy Pelosi

    Dan Goldman

    Jared Golden

    Shri Thanedar

    Majorie Taylor Greene

    Elise Stefanik

    Thomas Massie

    Byron Donalds

    99

    98

    97

    97

    96

    95

    90

    88

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    2026 Financial Times Business Book of the Year

    Mar 4, 7:34 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM
    73033

    OptionProbability

    Project Maven | Katrina Manson

    Prophecy | Carissa Véliz

    Blood Will Flow | Alex Perry

    1873: The First Great Depression and the Making of the Modern World | Liaquat Ahamed

    The Infinity Machine | Sebastian Mallaby

    Off the Scales | Aimee Donnellan

    Money to Burn: Leon Black, Apollo and the Remaking of Wall Street | William D. Cohan

    Streetwise: Getting to and Through Goldman Sachs | Lloyd Blankfein

    I Am Not a Robot: My Year Using AI to Do (Almost) Everything | Joanna Stern

    Steve Jobs in Exile | Geoffrey Cain

    Inside the Box | David Epstein

    The Age of Extraction | Tim Wu

    London Falling | Patrick Radden Keefe

    House of Fidelity: The Rise of the Johnson Dynasty and the Company That Changed American Investing | Justin Baer

    The Curious Case of Mike Lynch: The Improbable Life & Death of a Tech Billionaire | Katie Prescot

    Control Science: How Management Made the Modern World by Henry Sno

    Incorruptible: Why Good Companies Go Bad . . . and How Great Companies Stay Great by Eric Ries

    Adrift in the South by Xiao Hai

    Plastic Inc.: Big Oil, Big Money and the Plan to Trash Our Future by Beth Gardiner

    Bonfire of the Murdochs | Gabriel Sherman

    The Elements of Power: A Story of War, Technology and the Dirtiest Supply Chain on Earth by Nicolas Niarchos

    Robot-Proof: When Machines Have All the Answers, Build Better People by Vivienne Ming

    The Rise and Fall of the Artificial State | Jill Lepore

    Hyperscale | Paris Marx

    Frontierlands | Hazel Sheffield

    How Africa Works | Joe Studwell

    The UPS Man | Marc Levinson

    We Know You Can Pay a Million | Anja Shortland

    Other

    18

    16

    16

    16

    15

    15

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Who will be elected mayor of NYC in 2029?

    Aug 28, 5:26 PMNov 7, 11:59 PM
    113006

    OptionProbability

    Zohran Mamdani

    Jessica Tisch

    Other

    Julie Menin

    Curtis Sliwa

    John Chell

    Sid Rosenberg

    Julie Samuels

    Kenny Burgos

    David Greenfield

    Grace Lee

    Crystal Hudson

    Dan Goldman

    Kathryn Garcia

    Steve Fulop

    Antonio Reynoso

    Donovan Richards

    68

    9

    7

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    OptionProbability

    Brad Lander

    Dan Goldman

    Alexa Aviles

    Yuh-Line Niou

    Cameron Kasky

    Other

    99

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Will Goldman Sachs fire its banking analysts that took PE jobs?

    Jan 13, 1:20 PMDec 25, 1:14 PM
    12.5%chance
    81673

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    2647

    378

    Dan Goldman loses his primary in NY-10?

    Jan 6, 12:52 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
    99%chance
    71322

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1303

    53

    OptionProbability

    Customer Service / Call Centers

    Other / None >15%

    Software Development / Coding

    Transportation / Trucking

    Legal / Paralegal Work

    Finance / Accounting

    59

    21

    8

    4

    4

    4

    OptionProbability

    Procter & Gamble (1837)

    Union Pacific (1862)

    Colgate-Palmolive (1806)

    MetLife (1868)

    Berkshire Hathaway (1839)

    Pfizer (1849)

    Goldman Sachs (1869)

    American Express (1850)

    Bank of New York Mellon (1784)

    Wells Fargo (1852)

    15

    15

    13

    11

    9

    9

    9

    7

    6

    6

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