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Prediction markets for GOP Senate
If the GOP win a trifecta, will the Senate use the 'Nuclear Option' to break legislative filibuster before Sept '25?
Aug 12, 1:17 PMSep 2, 3:59 AM
1%chance
3812765
OptionVotes
9950
101
Will Trump authorize privateers (i.e. issue letters of marque & reprisal) to go after drug cartels?
Jan 28, 2:21 AMDec 26, 7:59 AM
16.4%chance
156376
OptionVotes
1739
87
Will Donald Trump express support for the 'nuclear option" of breaking legislative filibuster, before September 2025?
Aug 12, 1:30 PMSep 1, 3:59 AM
6.78%chance
244600
OptionVotes
3708
270
Will a Republican win the US Senate special election in Florida in 2026?
Nov 12, 8:18 PMNov 11, 1:29 PM
74.82%chance
61554
OptionVotes
1724
580
If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a near total abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?
Jan 15, 11:47 PMNov 4, 5:59 AM
2.24%chance
101413
OptionVotes
1280
46
Dems+GOP at all times hold >96% of each: US House, Senate, Governors, and state legislatures
Sep 6, 3:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
93%chance
5801
OptionVotes
356
101
If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a total abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?
Jan 15, 11:48 PMNov 4, 5:59 AM
8.07%chance
12589
OptionVotes
632
122
Sen. Fetterman leaves Democratic Party before 2028 election?
May 16, 5:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
35.52%chance
9548
OptionVotes
1347
742
If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a national 15 week or less abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?
Jan 15, 11:43 PMNov 4, 5:59 AM
16.39%chance
12472
OptionVotes
233
58
If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a national 6 week or less abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?
Jan 15, 11:45 PMNov 4, 5:59 AM
11.15%chance
12412
OptionVotes
469
78
If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will they end the filibuster by the midterm election?
Jan 4, 4:20 PMNov 4, 5:59 AM
17.09%chance
10268
OptionVotes
302
149
OptionProbability
74
12
4
4
4
4
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