Governing Council News

ECB Holds Fire After Seven Cuts, Keeps Deposit Rate at 2%

9 days ago

Eurozone PMI Hits 11-Month High as Services Drive July Rebound

Europe

Economics

Business

Eurozone PMI Hits 11-Month High as Services Drive July Rebound

9 days ago

ECB Warns Dollar Stablecoins Threaten Euro’s Monetary Autonomy

Europe

Economics

Regulation

ECB Warns Dollar Stablecoins Threaten Euro’s Monetary Autonomy

5 days ago

Europe

Economics

Business

BNP Paribas Scraps 2025 ECB Rate-Cut Call as Banks Delay Easing Outlook

8 days ago

Europe

Tariffs

Economics

ECB’s Villeroy Sees US Tariffs Having Little Inflation Impact, Growth Risks Remain

8 days ago

Europe

Economics

Business

Eurozone Traders Cut September ECB Rate-Cut Odds to 25%

9 days ago

Europe

Economics

Business

ECB Sets High Bar for Any September Rate Cut

9 days ago

Europe

Economics

Business

ECB Sees Inflation Path On Track, Keeps Data-Driven Rate Stance

9 days ago

Will Iran’s regime fall in 2025?

Jun 23, 6:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.5%chance

325477

OptionVotes

YES

3087

324

Will Palestine become a full United Nations member state before 2030?

Nov 17, 7:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15%chance

312810

OptionVotes

YES

1844

761

Will Maduro be in office on January 1, 2026?

Jan 10, 1:29 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

88.1%chance

162713

OptionVotes

YES

2721

367

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

47.66%chance

52539

OptionVotes

YES

10480

9542

EU ends unanimous decision-making by EOY 2035?

Jul 14, 12:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.17%chance

101697

OptionVotes

YES

2277

439

Will there be a United Nations General Assembly discussing the benefits and risks of AGI before June 2026?

Jun 13, 7:28 PMJun 3, 4:41 PM

46.74%chance

14929

OptionVotes

YES

1068

937

Will a US Governor, Senator, President, or VP be in a open polyamourous relationship without scandal by the end of 2039?

Sep 19, 11:29 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

23.82%chance

20709

OptionVotes

YES

1242

901

Will Victoria, Australia legislate to replace Stamp Duty (property sales tax) with a land value tax before 2027?

Apr 19, 3:10 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

25.27%chance

10377

OptionVotes

YES

207

127

When will martial law be lifted in at least 3/4 of Ukraine?

Mar 18, 11:02 PMMay 29, 8:59 PM

5197

OptionProbability

Until resolution date

Until EOY 2026

Until EOY 2025

Until EOY 2024

Who will be the next leader of Hamas (free response)?

Oct 29, 6:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3130

OptionProbability

Khalil al-Hayya

Khaled Mashal

Zaher Jabarin

Muhammad Ismail Darwish

Other

Mohammed Sinwar

South Africa imposes chrome-ore export tax before 2027?

Jul 7, 5:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.95%chance

352

OptionVotes

YES

142

Will the UK reach hydrogen-generated energy targets and related goals?

Jul 31, 5:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

At least 1GW production capacity by 2025

At least 5GW production capacity by 2030

At least 10GW production capacity by 2035

Between 250-460TWh of hydrogen production by 2050

Less than 250TWh of hydrogen production by 2050

More than 460TWh of hydrogen production by 2050

Latest stories

Jul 29, 2025
Jul 29, 2025
Europe
Economics
Regulation
ECB Warns Dollar Stablecoins Threaten Euro’s Monetary Autonomy
Authors
15
5 days ago
Jul 25, 2025
Jul 25, 2025
Europe
Tariffs
Economics
ECB’s Villeroy Sees US Tariffs Having Little Inflation Impact, Growth Risks Remain
Authors
5
8 days ago
Jul 25, 2025
Jul 25, 2025
Europe
Economics
Business
BNP Paribas Scraps 2025 ECB Rate-Cut Call as Banks Delay Easing Outlook
Authors
6
8 days ago
Jul 24, 2025
Jul 24, 2025
Europe
Economics
Business
ECB Holds Fire After Seven Cuts, Keeps Deposit Rate at 2%
Authors
39
9 days ago
Jul 24, 2025
Jul 24, 2025
Europe
Economics
Business
ECB Sets High Bar for Any September Rate Cut
Authors
7
9 days ago
Jul 24, 2025
Jul 24, 2025
Europe
Economics
Business
Eurozone Traders Cut September ECB Rate-Cut Odds to 25%
Authors
5
9 days ago
Jul 24, 2025
Jul 24, 2025
Europe
Economics
Business
Eurozone PMI Hits 11-Month High as Services Drive July Rebound
Authors
7
9 days ago
Jul 24, 2025
Jul 24, 2025
Europe
Economics
Business
ECB Sees Inflation Path On Track, Keeps Data-Driven Rate Stance
Authors
3
9 days ago
Jul 20, 2025
Jul 20, 2025
Europe
Tariffs
Economics
ECB Signals No Immediate Rate Cut Despite Trump Tariff Hit
Authors
4
13 days ago
Jul 2, 2025
Jul 2, 2025
Europe
Economics
Business
ECB's Olli Rehn Warns Prolonged Inflation Below 2% Could Shift Euro-Zone Consumers’ Expectations
Authors
8
1 month ago

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Prediction markets for Governing Council

Prediction markets for Governing Council

Prediction markets for Governing Council

Will Iran’s regime fall in 2025?

Will Palestine become a full United Nations member state before 2030?

Will Maduro be in office on January 1, 2026?

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

EU ends unanimous decision-making by EOY 2035?

Will there be a United Nations General Assembly discussing the benefits and risks of AGI before June 2026?

Will a US Governor, Senator, President, or VP be in a open polyamourous relationship without scandal by the end of 2039?

Will Victoria, Australia legislate to replace Stamp Duty (property sales tax) with a land value tax before 2027?

When will martial law be lifted in at least 3/4 of Ukraine?

Who will be the next leader of Hamas (free response)?

South Africa imposes chrome-ore export tax before 2027?

Will the UK reach hydrogen-generated energy targets and related goals?

Latest stories

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