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Top stories

UN Experts Warn of Enforced Disappearances at Gaza Aid Sites

UN Experts Warn of Enforced Disappearances at Gaza Aid Sites

Authors

5

11 months ago

Prediction markets for Government Media Office

DOGE cuts $1T federal deficit by FY 2026?

Feb 4, 6:07 AMOct 1, 6:59 AM

2.9%chance

3810899

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5785

173

Was 9/11 an inside job? (2100)

Oct 19, 3:51 PMJan 2, 2:59 AM

6.93%chance

262889

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1967

864

Elon Musk financially backs campaign to remove Trump from office?

Jun 6, 3:13 PMDec 31, 4:06 PM

18.12%chance

172277

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2126

470

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

75.94%chance

321986

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1679

610

Have we seen the last of MTG?

Dec 1, 6:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.22%chance

211598

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1986

503

By the end of 2028, it will be confirmed that Jeffrey Epstein was an foreign, or domestic intelligence asset.

Dec 20, 7:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.62%chance

251289

OptionVotes

YES

NO

137

73

Will Trump pardon Maduro?

Jan 3, 2:15 PMJan 4, 2:15 PM

38.43%chance

221235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

127

79

Will Daniel Ortega lose power in 2026?

Jul 21, 5:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.03%chance

81002

OptionVotes

YES

NO

444

44

Is a major protest(s) expected to occur in Indonesia before September 2026?

Mar 17, 6:53 AMAug 31, 11:59 PM

23.44%chance

10219

OptionVotes

YES

NO

181

55

Conditional on Iranian Regime Change: will it be achieved by a military coup?

Feb 20, 8:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45%chance

11156

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

Will the UK revoke citizenship from more than 5,000 naturalised citizens in any single year by EOY2030?

Jul 22, 10:46 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

34.79%chance

465

OptionVotes

YES

NO

137

73

Will Baltimore "happen" for the DC policy crowd before 2028?

Jun 13, 6:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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