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Top stories

FDA Expands Recall of Walmart and Other Frozen Shrimp Brands Over Radioactive Cesium-137 Contamination in Multiple States

FDA Expands Recall of Walmart and Other Frozen Shrimp Brands Over Radioactive Cesium-137 Contamination in Multiple States

Authors

13

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Great American

Will AI cause mass unemployment... by 2030 ?

Dec 22, 2:22 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

15%chance

554394

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1906

724

Will the Great American AI Act (GAAIA) become law in 2026?

Jul 8, 8:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.83%chance

82548

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3028

330

Will relatively "offline" societies show signs of out-competing "online" societies by the end of 2027?

Dec 27, 6:26 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

41.58%chance

462286

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1069

933

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.21%chance

14835

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1015

943

Great American Empire by 2030?

Jan 20, 1:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.03%chance

13832

OptionVotes

YES

NO

221

45

Will India join Russia + China + Iran alliance? (2026 media)

Jan 1, 2:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.79%chance

18555

OptionVotes

YES

NO

304

33

Will there be a major new AI regulation bill signed in the U.S. before September 30, 2026?

Aug 4, 3:15 AMSep 29, 11:59 PM

10.05%chance

9221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

299

33

Will the US launch a Manhattan Project / Apollo Program for AI safety by EOY 2030?

Jun 21, 10:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.34%chance

635

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

82

[poll/stock - never resolves] How do Americans view Donald Trump’s political rhetoric (independent of politics)?

Dec 29, 7:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

211

OptionProbability

Negative

Positive

Agnostic/Neutral

45

28

28

Will @AidanFitzzz finally write his great american novel by EOY2031

Jun 5, 8:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Help Al Quinn find good movies (because nearly everything is terrible) 12K Mana Bounty!

Mar 9, 8:51 PM

00

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