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Top stories

Forbes JAPAN Names 2025 ‘30 Under 30’ Innovators at Tokyo Ceremony

Authors

3

1 year ago

Prediction markets for HANA

Will this Richard Hanania article on trans ideology hold up?

Oct 6, 4:51 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

73.61%chance

6913547

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1659

197

At what age will Richard Hanania die?

May 9, 8:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

56.83%chance

184881

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1025

972

Is Richard Hanania correct that major institutions are anti-white and anti-male. There is Gay propaganda in schools etc.

Apr 4, 11:03 PMJul 25, 7:24 AM

21.67%chance

304708

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1134

930

Which party will Richard Hanania finally endorse in the 2028 U.S. presidential election?

Nov 15, 3:38 AMNov 8, 11:59 PM

283409

OptionProbability

the Democratic Party

the Republican Party

[no endorsement]

the Libertarian Party

Other

63

19

15

2

1

Will Richard Hanania (political writer) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 2, 6:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.64%chance

232601

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1764

923

Which interpretation of quantum physics will be Richard Hanania's favorite

Oct 15, 1:23 PMOct 15, 1:17 PM

3215

OptionProbability

Many Worlds

Agnostic (like Scott Aaronson)

Unsure

De Broglie-Bohm

Other

Copenhagen, Qbism

Stochastic collapse

26

18

12

12

12

10

10

In 2033, will Richard Hanania believe that the predictions they made about deepfakes came true?

Mar 30, 4:29 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

64%chance

12141

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1062

952

Will Richard hananias live in or around Washington DC at the end of 2026?

Jun 7, 10:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.91%chance

490

OptionVotes

YES

NO

169

59

How many people protested hanania's presence at manifest by not coming?

Sep 25, 5:55 PM

00

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