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Hess News

    Prediction markets for Hess

    Who will win the Scott Alexander 2026 Book Review Contest?

    Jun 4, 5:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    2551326

    OptionProbability

    Orality and Literacy by Walter Ong

    The Tale of Genji

    Breakdown in Pakistan: How Aid Is Eroding Institutions for Collective Action

    We Present Television

    The History And Adventures Of An Atom

    The Book of Abraham

    This Is Going To Hurt

    Storm Of Steel

    Lee Kuan Yew’s Memoirs

    The Epic Of Gilgamesh

    The Escape Artist

    A Residence Of 21 Years In The Sandwich Islands

    Thomas Urquhart’s Translation Of Rabelais

    The Ghost In My Brain

    Great And Desperate Cures

    Thomas Urquhart's Translation of Rabelais

    How to Prevent Coups d’État

    Stabilizing an Unstable Economy

    The Last Temptation of Christ

    The Invention of Science: A New History of the Scientific Revolution

    The Rule of Law

    Timefulness

    The Life-Changing Magic of Tidying Up

    The Cambridge Introduction to Jacques Lacan

    The Knowledge Machine

    The Inhabited Island

    A Secular Age

    Pharmaceutical Freedom: Why Patients Have a Right to Self-Medicate

    Aesopian Language in Russian Literature

    Bellum Catilinae -- The Catiline Conspiracy

    Other

    Coriolanus

    Fear and Trembling

    1984 by George Orwell

    Mother of Learning

    "Mistletoe and Memorandums" by Claude

    The Northern Caves

    planecrash – E.S. Yudwkosky

    World War Z

    The Sovereign Child

    Siddhartha (1922) by Herman Hesse

    The Lever of Riches

    Dictator Book Club: Yoweri Museveni’s Sowing The Mustard Seed

    The End of History and the Last Man

    The Affluent Society by John Kenneth Galbraith

    The Bible

    Invisible Cities / Life: A User's Manual

    We've Had a Hundred Years of Psychotherapy and the World's Getting Worse

    Capitalist Realism

    Leviathan

    The Short, Swift Time of Gods on Earth

    Scenebux: A Novel

    More Money Than God: Hedge Funds and the Making of a New Elite, by Sebastian Mallaby

    12

    9

    7

    7

    6

    5

    5

    5

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    3

    3

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Which German states will have Sarah Wagenknecht's BSW in their parliaments after their next elections?

    Oct 23, 6:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
    338147

    OptionProbability

    Brandenburg

    Saxony

    Thuringia

    Mecklenburg-Vorpommern

    Saxony-Anhalt

    Berlin

    Saarland

    Hesse

    Bremen

    North Rhine-Westphalia

    Schleswig-Holstein

    Lower Saxony

    Bavaria

    Baden-Württemberg

    Hamburg

    Rhineland-Palatinate

    100

    100

    100

    64

    55

    48

    36

    8

    6

    5

    5

    4

    2

    0

    0

    0

    🪀What Toys will make it into the Toy Hall of Fame before the end of 2040? [ADD RESPONSES]

    Mar 25, 3:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    231483

    OptionProbability

    My Little Pony

    Transformers

    Pokemon cards

    minecraft

    Tamagotchi

    Pogo stick

    Operation board game

    Gameboy

    PEZ Dispenser

    Ken doll (barbie)

    Beyblades

    Hess trucks

    Crazy Bones / Go Gos

    Metal-tipped lawn darts

    100

    100

    86

    73

    71

    68

    66

    59

    58

    57

    42

    34

    34

    18

    🪀What Toys will make it into the Toy Hall of Fame in 2026?

    Jan 8, 3:06 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
    8303

    OptionProbability

    Ken doll (barbie)

    Pogo stick

    PEZ Dispenser

    Hess trucks

    Operation board game

    Pokemon cards

    Tamagotchi

    minecraft

    Crazy Bones / Go Gos

    Gameboy

    Beyblades

    Metal-tipped lawn darts

    82

    31

    24

    24

    24

    24

    24

    20

    16

    11

    9

    6

    In which state will Germany decide to build a radioactive waste repository before 2069?

    May 17, 6:18 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
    10253

    OptionProbability

    No Bundestag decision before 2069

    Brandenburg

    Bavaria

    Lower Saxony

    Mecklenburg-Vorpommern

    North Rhine-Westphalia

    Schleswig-Holstein

    Saxony-Anhalt

    Thuringia

    Baden-Württemberg

    Berlin

    Hesse

    Rhineland-Palatinate

    Saxony

    Bremen

    Hamburg

    Saarland

    40

    29

    8

    4

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    🚒What will be true about the 2026 Holiday Hess Truck? [ADD RESPONSES]

    Nov 7, 5:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    4120

    OptionProbability

    only four wheels on main vehicle

    smaller vehicle that comes with it

    Includes a flying machine (helicopter, plane, space ship, etc) as the main or a side vehicle

    Police or Fire department theme

    has an Extendable ladder as a feature

    Predominant color is Non-Green (like 2020, 2015 or 2005) (not counting white as a color)

    Main vehicle is construction related (like 2017)

    Main vehicle has 6 or more tires

    says GASOLINE on one of the vehicles

    main vehicle has no wheels (like 1966)

    76

    66

    50

    50

    34

    34

    34

    34

    34

    13

    Will there be a new TRIUMPH OF THE WILL -like film centered on MAGA/Trump by EOY2028?

    Jan 20, 9:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    42.87%chance
    332

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    115

    87

    Will Rudel, Speer, Heinlein, Heydrich, Himmler, Goering, Steiner, Krebs, Hess, or Jodl appear in Wolfenstein by EOY2044?

    Mar 12, 9:53 PMMar 19, 9:52 PM
    00

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