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Top stories

Kenya High Court Suspends State House Church Plan for 81 Days

Kenya High Court Suspends State House Church Plan for 81 Days

Authors

3

7 months ago

Hong Kong Ends Jimmy Lai Security Trial; Verdict Expected Later

Hong Kong Ends Jimmy Lai Security Trial; Verdict Expected Later

Authors

8

7 months ago

UK Court Lets 138 Asylum Seekers Remain at Epping Hotel

UK Court Lets 138 Asylum Seekers Remain at Epping Hotel

Authors

6

7 months ago

Company Earnings

Poundland Wins Court Nod for Rescue as UK Retail Turmoil Deepens

Authors

4

7 months ago

Mélenchon Sets 23 Sept. Bid to Impeach Macron

Authors

5

7 months ago

Kenya High Court Suspends President Ruto’s Multi-Agency Anti-Corruption Team Amid Petition by Four Activists and MPs Demand Evidence

Authors

3

7 months ago

Noel Clarke Loses £70 Million Libel Battle With Guardian

Authors

5

7 months ago

Jimmy Lai Defence Opens, Argues Free Speech in Hong Kong Security Trial

Authors

4

7 months ago

Prediction markets for High Court

Will SCOTUS strike down the preemptive pardons if it considers the case?

Jan 20, 2:01 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

20%chance

3814920

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18124

6187

Will the proposed 5,000$ per child tax credit be signed into law before November 7 2028?

Aug 18, 2:06 PMDec 2, 6:59 AM

19.12%chance

1211085

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18565

6494

Post-mortem revelations: will damning new evidence be revealed in the OJ Simpson case?

Apr 11, 3:36 PMApr 11, 6:59 AM

3.01%chance

185481

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6380

416

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Sep 12, 2:17 PMMay 1, 8:59 PM

55.66%chance

394057

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1067

932

Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040?

Oct 17, 10:23 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

93132

OptionProbability

Ingria

Chechnya (Ichkeria)

Zaporozhye (Zaporizhzhia) Oblast

Kaliningrad (Königsberg)

Bashkortostan

Tatarstan

Udmurtia

Chuvashia

Sakha (Yakutia)

Karelia

Dagestan

Buryatia

31

16

15

10

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

If asked, will the German Constitutional Court decide to ban the AfD?

Jan 20, 9:46 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

30.92%chance

423097

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1094

692

Kurdistan will become a state in 2029

Jan 18, 3:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.18%chance

11941

OptionVotes

YES

NO

220

46

New Zealand Labour forms a government in 2026 without requiring support from Te Pāti Māori

Mar 21, 5:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.62%chance

5854

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1750

571

Trump vs the media: Which lawsuits will succeed?

Dec 27, 1:11 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

5122

OptionProbability

CBS case, over 60 Minutes Harris interview

Trump defamation suit against NYT (filed September 2025)

Des Moines Register case, over Ann Selzer poll

Simon & Schuster case, over Bob Woodward book

100

50

11

0

When will a humanoid robot beat a human tennis pro in a singles match

Mar 16, 5:10 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

160

OptionProbability

Before 2045

Before 2040

Before 2029

Before 2030

Before 2035

Before 2028

Before 2027

76

66

50

50

50

34

24

Italy judicial reform: Will the parliamentary list for lay members be at least 3x the seats to fill?

Mar 12, 11:30 AMDec 31, 12:28 PM

49.97%chance

250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1001

999

Italy judicial reform: Will a High Disciplinary Court ruling be challenged at the ECHR or Corte Costituzionale by 2032?

Mar 12, 11:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.57%chance

235

OptionVotes

NO

YES

135

74

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