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Prediction markets for High Yield
One year after AGI is built, what will be the interest rate (%) in the United States?
May 23, 9:09 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
174935
OptionProbability
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
In what year will China establish a domestic semiconductor supply chain that is not vulnerable to sanctions?
Mar 28, 12:27 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
182071
OptionProbability
48
16
16
13
7
[MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will an AI system autonomously access restricted high-risk systems or data by end of 2045?
Dec 4, 3:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
60%chance
5805
OptionVotes
1225
816
OptionVotes
109
92
OptionVotes
315
32
OptionProbability
56
29
15
OptionVotes
285
35
OptionVotes
214
154
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