House Minority News

NZ MP Chlöe Swarbrick Ejected Over Palestine Debate After Sanctions Call and Netanyahu Accusation; US Democrat Clark Labels Gaza War Genocide

1 year ago

What will be the official cause(s) of the Air India Flight 171 crash?

Jun 13, 6:55 AMJun 30, 6:43 AM

17481598

OptionProbability

Pilot Action: Pilot action was a primary cause of the crash.

Design/Manufacturing Defect: A Boeing design or manufacturing defect was a primary cause of the crash.

Maintenance/Fueling Lapse: An Air India maintenance or fueling lapse was a primary cause of the crash.

If the Texas GOP succeeds in redistricting, will they gain seats in the midterms?

Jul 21, 11:15 AMNov 8, 12:14 PM

84%chance

3014119

OptionVotes

YES

2291

436

Starmer vs Burnham decision market - will Labour win a majority in the next general election?

Jun 20, 10:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

155857

OptionProbability

**Assuming Burnham is Labour leader**, Labour wins a majority

**Assuming Starmer is Labour leader**, Labour wins a majority

Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?

Jul 22, 11:40 AMSep 25, 11:37 AM

57.11%chance

122456

OptionVotes

YES

1155

868

Next Canadian federal election by April 30th, 2027?

Apr 30, 5:32 PMApr 30, 11:59 PM

11.47%chance

91913

OptionVotes

YES

2779

360

Will One Nation win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election in Australia?

Jun 23, 4:16 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

23.81%chance

171529

OptionVotes

YES

1789

559

Democratic Leaders in Congress after 2026 elections?

Mar 21, 10:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7979

OptionProbability

Hakeem Jeffries & NOT Schumer

Hakeem Jeffries & Chuck Schumer

NOT Jeffries & NOT Schumer

NOT Jeffries & Chuck Schumer

Will the (unweighted) average US age of consent increase by Dec 31, 2035?

Feb 7, 9:34 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

4550

OptionProbability

Increase

Stays the same

Decrease

What year do we see the emergence of a viable third political party in the US?

Feb 27, 11:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7464

OptionProbability

2032

2030

2028

When will Basic Post Scarcity Economy be achieved by a nation state?

Jun 12, 2:55 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

17412

OptionProbability

2070

2080

2060

Other

AFTER widespread Bitcoin adoption

2050

Lmao

2090

2040

2100

2110

2120

2130

2140

2150

2160

2170

2180

2190

2200

Airstrike on a UK datacenter before 2035?

Jul 8, 11:40 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.98%chance

5254

OptionVotes

YES

248

Will the GOP face a serious third party competition by midterms 2030?

Mar 13, 10:46 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

46.84%chance

6163

OptionVotes

YES

1065

939

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Aug 14, 2025
Aug 14, 2025
New Zealand
War
Politics
NZ MP Chlöe Swarbrick Ejected Over Palestine Debate After Sanctions Call and Netanyahu Accusation; US Democrat Clark Labels Gaza War Genocide
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1 year ago

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Prediction markets for House Minority

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What will be the official cause(s) of the Air India Flight 171 crash?

If the Texas GOP succeeds in redistricting, will they gain seats in the midterms?

Starmer vs Burnham decision market - will Labour win a majority in the next general election?

Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?

Next Canadian federal election by April 30th, 2027?

Will One Nation win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election in Australia?

Democratic Leaders in Congress after 2026 elections?

Will the (unweighted) average US age of consent increase by Dec 31, 2035?

What year do we see the emergence of a viable third political party in the US?

When will Basic Post Scarcity Economy be achieved by a nation state?

Airstrike on a UK datacenter before 2035?

Will the GOP face a serious third party competition by midterms 2030?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram