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Top stories

Philippine Supreme Court Unanimously Bars Impeachment Trial Against VP Sara Duterte Over One-Year Bar, House Plans Reconsideration

Philippine Supreme Court Unanimously Bars Impeachment Trial Against VP Sara Duterte Over One-Year Bar, House Plans Reconsideration

Authors

12

9 days ago

Reps. Ro Khanna and Thomas Massie Introduce Bipartisan Bill and Discharge Petition to Force AG Pam Bondi to Release Epstein Files Within 30 Days

Reps. Ro Khanna and Thomas Massie Introduce Bipartisan Bill and Discharge Petition to Force AG Pam Bondi to Release Epstein Files Within 30 Days

Authors

26

18 days ago

Indonesian Parliament Approves President Prabowo's July 30 Clemency: Abolisi for Tom Lembong, Amnesti for Hasto Kristiyanto

Indonesian Parliament Approves President Prabowo's July 30 Clemency: Abolisi for Tom Lembong, Amnesti for Hasto Kristiyanto

Authors

3

2 days ago

US Foreign Policy

Senate Majority Leader John Thune Signals July Vote on Lindsey Graham’s Russia Sanctions Bill Targeting Energy Sector

Authors

22

24 days ago

Graham’s Russia Sanctions Bill Targeting India, China With 500% Tariffs Gains Trump Support; Senate Vote Expected in July

Authors

50

1 month ago

U.S. Senate Holds Final Vote on GENIUS Act Stablecoin Bill Today, Setting Reserve Rules and Impacting Tether Before Advancing to House

Authors

15

2 months ago

Prediction markets for House of Representatives

What party will hold the House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms

Dec 12, 2:00 PMNov 15, 4:59 AM

89103754

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

81

19

Will Donald Trump be impeached by the House of Representatives during his second term?

Nov 6, 6:44 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

53%chance

274289

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1062

942

Will Republicans maintain a majority in the House of Representatives throughout the 119th Congress?

Nov 14, 12:17 AMJan 3, 4:59 PM

90.34%chance

134078

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3058

327

Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?

Jun 12, 12:28 PMNov 15, 11:59 PM

82.65%chance

193616

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2183

458

Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?

Jun 12, 12:29 PMNov 15, 11:59 PM

17.52%chance

132814

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2170

461

Will Destiny run for the Senate or the House of Representatives before 2050?

Jan 14, 7:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.74%chance

262565

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1751

830

Will the House of Representatives begin an impeachment of Donald Trump during his second term?

Nov 6, 4:20 PMJan 9, 7:59 AM

60.94%chance

302022

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1333

705

Will the Democrats gain 38+ seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 US midterm elections?

Mar 29, 7:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.87%chance

201549

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1103

907

Will a U.S. House Representative, Senator, or President/Vice President self identify as an effective altruist by the end of 2030?

Oct 29, 5:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35.98%chance

421212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1219

844

Will Matthew McConaughey run for the Senate or the House of Representatives or governor before 2050?

Jan 14, 7:34 PMJan 22, 4:59 AM

36.79%chance

14707

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1013

958

Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?

Jul 22, 11:40 AMSep 25, 11:37 AM

62.57%chance

3409

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1293

773

How many seats will GL-PVDA have in the Dutch House of Representatives after the next general election?

Nov 25, 2:34 PMDec 2, 10:59 PM

7302

OptionProbability

At least 1

At least 5

At least 10

At least 15

At least 20

At least 25

Other

At least 30

At least 35

90

89

88

86

83

61

50

34

17

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