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Top stories

Japan's PM Ishiba Meets Singapore's Senior Minister Lee, Awards Order of the Rising Sun, Thanks Former PM Kishida for TICAD9 Role

Japan's PM Ishiba Meets Singapore's Senior Minister Lee, Awards Order of the Rising Sun, Thanks Former PM Kishida for TICAD9 Role

Authors

8

9 months ago

On Voting Rights Act Anniversary, Democrats Renew Push to Pass John Lewis Act Amid Senate Opposition and Voter Suppression Challenges

US Domestic Policy

On Voting Rights Act Anniversary, Democrats Renew Push to Pass John Lewis Act Amid Senate Opposition and Voter Suppression Challenges

Authors

6

9 months ago

Jakarta Moves to Elevate BP Haji into Ministry of Hajj and Umrah

Jakarta Moves to Elevate BP Haji into Ministry of Hajj and Umrah

Authors

3

9 months ago

Natural Resources

President Prabowo Unveils 2026 Budget with Rp 3,147.7T Revenue, 5.4% Growth Target, and Rp 300T Illegal Mining Crackdown

Authors

13

9 months ago

Prediction markets for House of Representatives

What party will hold the House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms

Dec 12, 2:00 PMNov 15, 4:59 AM

170258647

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

90

10

Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?

Jun 12, 12:28 PMNov 15, 11:59 PM

90.6%chance

7343399

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3106

322

Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?

Jun 12, 12:29 PMNov 15, 11:59 PM

8.76%chance

5023474

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3229

310

Will Donald Trump be impeached by the House of Representatives during his second term?

Nov 6, 6:44 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

69.68%chance

448451

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1517

660

Will Republicans maintain a majority in the House of Representatives throughout the 119th Congress?

Nov 14, 12:17 AMJan 3, 4:59 PM

97.3%chance

168417

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6004

167

Will the Democrats gain 38+ seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 US midterm elections?

Mar 29, 7:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.88%chance

304918

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2008

498

Will the House of Representatives begin an impeachment of Donald Trump during his second term?

Nov 6, 4:20 PMJan 9, 7:59 AM

80.23%chance

383866

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2060

419

Will Destiny run for the Senate or the House of Representatives before 2050?

Jan 14, 7:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.74%chance

262565

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1751

830

Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?

Jul 22, 11:40 AMSep 25, 11:37 AM

69.62%chance

81640

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1516

661

Will a U.S. House Representative, Senator, or President/Vice President self identify as an effective altruist by the end of 2030?

Oct 29, 5:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33.9%chance

441277

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1282

810

Will Matthew McConaughey run for the Senate or the House of Representatives or governor before 2050?

Jan 14, 7:34 PMJan 22, 4:59 AM

34.98%chance

15757

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1008

985

Will Kanye West run for the Senate or the House of Representatives before 2050?

Jan 14, 7:38 PMJan 22, 4:59 AM

36%chance

11139

OptionVotes

YES

NO

197

114

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