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Top stories

RNC Holds $84.3 Million Cash Advantage Over DNC’s $13.9 Million Amid Lowest Reserves in 5 Years

RNC Holds $84.3 Million Cash Advantage Over DNC’s $13.9 Million Amid Lowest Reserves in 5 Years

Authors

6

1 year ago

GOP Lawmakers Tour Factories to Tout Trump’s ‘One Big Beautiful Bill’

GOP Lawmakers Tour Factories to Tout Trump’s ‘One Big Beautiful Bill’

Authors

15

1 year ago

Florida State Senator Joe Gruters, Trump Ally, Elected Chairman of Republican National Committee to Lead 2026 Efforts

US Gov Appointments

Florida State Senator Joe Gruters, Trump Ally, Elected Chairman of Republican National Committee to Lead 2026 Efforts

Authors

6

1 year ago

US Domestic Policy

Swalwell’s ‘Bury Them’ Remark Triggers GOP Push for Censure

Authors

10

1 year ago

Prediction markets for House Republicans

Will Republicans maintain a majority in the House of Representatives throughout the 119th Congress?

Nov 14, 12:17 AMJan 3, 4:59 PM

98.51%chance

1810657

OptionVotes

NO

YES

8131

123

How many House seats do the Republicans flip in 2026?

Jan 10, 8:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

136849

OptionProbability

>= 2

>= 5

>= 10

>= 20

93

12

8

1

If Republicans lose the house, will Mike Johnson serve out the whole of his next term?

Oct 15, 11:57 PMJan 3, 11:59 PM

62.24%chance

91881

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1284

779

If Republicans keep the House in 2026, will there be a federal government shutdown in 2027?

Oct 7, 2:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.23%chance

3560

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1509

838

Will a US House seat flip from Democrat to Republican in a 2027 special election?

Oct 21, 5:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.75%chance

3164

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2104

1966

If Republicans keep the House in 2026, will Bitcoin be above $150,000 at the end of 2027?

Oct 7, 2:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.35%chance

2150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1150

966

If Republicans keep the House in 2026, will U.S. real GDP shrink in any quarter of 2027?

Oct 7, 2:51 AMFeb 15, 5:00 PM

32.1%chance

3125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1056

869

Will a US House seat flip from Republican to Democrat in a 2027 special election?

Oct 21, 5:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.32%chance

2100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1030

914

If Republicans keep the House in 2026, will the S&P 500 close 2027 higher than it closed on November 3, 2026?

Oct 7, 2:05 AMDec 31, 9:00 PM

72.78%chance

2100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

960

If Republicans keep the House in 2026, will Trump's approval rating be 40% or higher on January 1, 2028?

Oct 7, 2:14 AMJan 2, 5:00 PM

23.5%chance

481

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1063

980

If Republicans keep the House in 2026, will Congress ban its members from trading individual stocks before Jan 3, 2029?

Oct 7, 2:50 AMJan 3, 5:00 PM

15%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

If Republicans keep the House in 2026, will Trump veto at least 5 bills in 2027?

Oct 7, 2:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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