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Top stories

RNC Holds $84.3 Million Cash Advantage Over DNC’s $13.9 Million Amid Lowest Reserves in 5 Years

RNC Holds $84.3 Million Cash Advantage Over DNC’s $13.9 Million Amid Lowest Reserves in 5 Years

Authors

6

1 year ago

GOP Lawmakers Tour Factories to Tout Trump’s ‘One Big Beautiful Bill’

GOP Lawmakers Tour Factories to Tout Trump’s ‘One Big Beautiful Bill’

Authors

15

1 year ago

Florida State Senator Joe Gruters, Trump Ally, Elected Chairman of Republican National Committee to Lead 2026 Efforts

US Gov Appointments

Florida State Senator Joe Gruters, Trump Ally, Elected Chairman of Republican National Committee to Lead 2026 Efforts

Authors

6

1 year ago

US Domestic Policy

Swalwell’s ‘Bury Them’ Remark Triggers GOP Push for Censure

Authors

10

1 year ago

Prediction markets for House Republicans

Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?

Jun 8, 6:16 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

10.9%chance

519444891

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13153

9447

Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?

Jun 12, 12:29 PMNov 15, 11:59 PM

11.6%chance

7359063

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2762

362

Will Republicans maintain a majority in the House of Representatives throughout the 119th Congress?

Nov 14, 12:17 AMJan 3, 4:59 PM

97.3%chance

168417

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6004

167

How many House seats do the Republicans flip in 2026?

Jan 10, 8:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

102698

OptionProbability

>= 2

>= 5

>= 10

>= 20

93

67

35

20

How many House seats will the Republicans flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]

Jan 24, 9:14 PMNov 3, 4:59 AM

19%chance

62385

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1044

785

Will Republicans hold the House at any point between 2028 and 2035?

Jul 23, 2:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

82.02%chance

9768

OptionVotes

NO

YES

214

47

Will Non-Republicans hold at least 53% of House seats on any day by July 27, 2027? (7/27/27)

Jul 28, 2:02 PMJul 26, 11:59 PM

67.62%chance

6547

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1445

692

Will Mike Johnson have a full term as Speaker of the House before another Republican becomes Speaker?

Nov 5, 7:46 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

70.82%chance

18377

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

44

Will there be over 215 Republican seats after the midterm elections in the House of Representatives?

May 8, 6:35 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

30.54%chance

781

OptionVotes

YES

NO

151

66

Will Non-Republicans hold at least 55.6% of House seats on any day by July 9, 2027? (7/9/27)

Aug 8, 2:32 AMJul 8, 11:59 PM

40.62%chance

343

OptionVotes

YES

NO

121

83

How many congressmen in the House will be members of the Republican Governance Group caucus after the 2026 midterms?

Jul 3, 8:02 AMNov 3, 12:00 AM

140

OptionProbability

Above 20

Above 28

Above 36

Above 44

Above 52

66

50

41

34

28

Will Non-Republicans hold at least 53.5% of House seats on any day by July 29, 2027? (7/29/27)

Jul 29, 11:03 AMJul 28, 11:59 PM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

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