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Top stories

NCAA Revenue-Sharing Deal Fuels Surge in College Football Luxury Seating

NCAA Revenue-Sharing Deal Fuels Surge in College Football Luxury Seating

Authors

3

11 months ago

GOP Senate Hopeful Says Trump Named in Unreleased Epstein Files

GOP Senate Hopeful Says Trump Named in Unreleased Epstein Files

Authors

12

11 months ago

Trump Invokes Rare Pocket Rescission to Cancel $4.9 Billion Foreign Aid

US Foreign Policy

US Domestic Policy

Trump Invokes Rare Pocket Rescission to Cancel $4.9 Billion Foreign Aid

Authors

33

11 months ago

Rep. Luna Moves to Force House Vote on Stock Trading Ban

Authors

5

11 months ago

US Domestic Policy

Schumer, Jeffries Urge Budget Talks as Sept. 30 Shutdown Deadline Nears

Authors

19

11 months ago

Supreme Court Pressed to Uphold State Bans on Conversion Therapy for Youth

Authors

6

1 year ago

Natural Resources

Colorado Lawmakers Send Tax Incentive Cuts, AI Law Delay, and Wolf Funding Measures to Governor Polis to Address $783 Million Budget Shortfall

Authors

5

1 year ago

US Domestic Policy

DeSantis Says Florida Will Redraw Congressional Map in Spring 2026

Authors

6

1 year ago

Prediction markets for House

Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

Jun 4, 5:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

1631433400

OptionProbability

Scott Wiener

Connie Chan

Bruce Lou

Christine Pelosi

Jane Kim

Nancy Pelosi will live forever and always win

Saikat Chakrabarti

London Breed

Other

61

38

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?

Jun 8, 6:16 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

10.9%chance

519444891

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13153

9447

What party will hold the House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms

Dec 12, 2:00 PMNov 15, 4:59 AM

183295392

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

88

12

Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Nov 7, 6:10 PMDec 1, 8:59 PM

44%chance

295214988

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1129

887

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?

May 23, 1:11 PMJun 1, 3:59 AM

54.78%chance

221114189

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1101

909

US House District 11 November 2026 results conditional market

May 13, 4:10 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

1669738

OptionProbability

Connie Chan advances; Scott Wiener wins

Connie Chan advances; Connie Chan wins

Saikat Chakrabarti advances; Scott Wiener wins

Saikat Chakrabarti advances; Saikat Chakrabarti wins

76

23

1

0

Will Vivek Ramaswamy Hold an Official Position in Trump’s White House?

Dec 27, 8:23 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

9.72%chance

17742411

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7301

1020

(M1000 Subsidy) UK builds 300,000 housing units in any year before 2030

Oct 10, 10:53 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

18.92%chance

7211589

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2835

709

Will the White House Ballroom really be a ballroom?

Oct 26, 6:21 PMJan 20, 5:47 PM

535682

OptionProbability

No, less than half ballroom etc.

Yes, more than half ballroom etc

58

42

Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?

Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

54.42%chance

171802

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10297

9614

Will any additional major section of the White House be demolished in 2026?

Oct 24, 2:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.14%chance

13614

OptionVotes

YES

NO

206

49

How many housing units will California authorize, 2025-2028? (linear, 250k-750k)

Oct 29, 4:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.01%chance

2172

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2772

2450

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