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Top stories

Congo Peace Talks Falter as Massacres Erode Qatar-Led Effort

Congo Peace Talks Falter as Massacres Erode Qatar-Led Effort

Authors

29

7 months ago

Human Rights Watch: Rwanda-Backed M23 Rebels Killed 140 in July in Eastern Congo in Summary Executions; Rwandan Troops Involved Exploiting Mineral Wealth

Natural Resources

Human Rights Watch: Rwanda-Backed M23 Rebels Killed 140 in July in Eastern Congo in Summary Executions; Rwandan Troops Involved Exploiting Mineral Wealth

Authors

7

7 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Trump Says He Ended Rwanda-Congo War, Declares ‘I Love Black People’

Authors

5

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Human Rights Watch

Will we conclude Tesla launched level 4 robotaxis in summer 2025?

Apr 25, 8:31 PMSep 1, 11:59 PM

9.02%chance

24568669

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2875

598

How many Iranians will be killed by it's regime in 2026?

Jan 11, 12:53 PMJan 12, 2:59 AM

466959

OptionProbability

40000+

20000-39999

10000-19999

6000-9999

3000 - 5999

2000- 2999

0 - 1999

45

27

14

7

5

1

0

Will the current wave of Iranian protests be suppressed by the end of 2026?

Jan 4, 10:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

79.97%chance

271481

OptionVotes

NO

YES

200

50

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

Jun 3, 9:34 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

41.79%chance

271368

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1207

867

When will the Iranian protests end?

Jan 15, 9:56 PMFeb 17, 2:59 AM

9706

OptionProbability

Before January 1, 2027

Before July 1, 2026

Before April 1, 2026

Before February 1, 2026

Before February 15, 2026

Before March 1, 2026

89

77

40

3

3

3

Civil War in Iran in 2026?

Jan 13, 1:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

27%chance

16338

OptionVotes

YES

NO

164

61

Will Saudi Arabia end male guardianship over adult women by 2030?

Jan 8, 9:01 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

53.02%chance

561

OptionVotes

NO

YES

159

141

Which AI gave the best response to the White Lotus meme?

Mar 19, 10:01 AM

470

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